Midland
vs
Tristan Suarez
0 – 1 Full time
| 22′ | J. Bigo | ||
| 22′ | D. Bulacio | ||
| 24′ | G. Cepeda | ||
| 30′ | I. Andrada | ||
| 41′ | M. Guillen | ||
| 46′ | J. CamanoF. Marin | ||
| 65′ | N. SanchezM. Luayza | ||
| 65′ | A. GalloJ. Beron | ||
| 70′ | I. AndradaJ. Perales | ||
| 73′ | G. CepedaE. Porro | ||
| 75′ | D. BeckerN. Fernandez | ||
| 80′ | J. Beron | ||
| 80′ | R. LunaM. Frattini | ||
| 80′ | R. CaoT. Borgogno | ||
| 84′ | A. MolinaM. Olguin | ||
| 86′ | J. Beron | ||
| 86′ | J. Beron |
Midland vs Tristan Suarez overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Midland vs Tristan Suarez
| Probability | Midland | Draw | Tristan Suarez |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 37.2% | 33.5% |
| Market | 40.7% | 34.2% | 25.1% |
| Final | 37.9% | 34.9% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -11.4% | +3.1% | +8.4% |
Why Midland
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Midland and Tristan Suarez expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.65
Midland and Tristan Suarez attack and defence ratings
Midland
Tristan Suarez
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Midland vs Tristan Suarez: result vs prediction
Midland 0 – 1 Tristan Suarez
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 31 fixtures
- CA Estudiantes v San Miguel — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Acassuso
- All Boys v Colon Santa Fe — match page
- Quilmes v Club Atlético Güemes — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Central Norte
- Colegiales v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Almagro vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Midland vs Tristan Suarez markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 37.9% | 2.64 | -11.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.0% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 37.9% |
| Draw | 34.9% | |
| Tristan Suarez | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.8% |
| No | 67.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Midland win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 70.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.5% |
| 0-1 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.4% |
Midland vs Tristan Suarez stats
Midland and Tristan Suarez recent form
| Midland |
WWLLWL |
| Tristan Suarez |
DDDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Midland and Tristan Suarez going into this match
Midland record
- They have won 13 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 14 of their 30 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 20 clean sheets in 30 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 30 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Midland vs Tristan Suarez head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Tristan Suarez | Midland | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Midland vs Tristan Suarez odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 40.7%, draw 34.2%, away 25.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 2.59 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 2.90 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 2.77 | 3.65 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 2.80 | 3.50 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 2.59 | 3.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32 | 2.68 | 4.06 |
| SBO | 2.10 | 2.68 | 3.29 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 2.62 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .