Club Atlético Güemes
vs
Midland
0 – 2 Full time
| 32′ | I. Andrada | ||
| 46′ | J. SanchezC. Leineker | ||
| 46′ | M. GerezA. Pinto | ||
| 55′ | D. VelizI. Ortigoza | ||
| 55′ | L. GuinazuJ. Juarez | ||
| 57′ | R. LunaE. Porro | ||
| 64′ | R. CaoM. Abruzzese | ||
| 68′ | B. Gerez | ||
| 75′ | A. GonzalezR. Arnay | ||
| 76′ | G. Cepeda | ||
| 82′ | I. AndradaD. Aguilar | ||
| 82′ | J. CamanoM. Penepil | ||
| 88′ | M. Penepil | ||
| 90′ | M. Penepil |
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland
| Probability | Club Atlético Güemes | Draw | Midland |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.8% | 29.1% | 47.1% |
| Market | 32.4% | 32.9% | 34.7% |
| Final | 30.2% | 32.0% | 37.8% |
| Edge | -8.6% | -3.9% | +12.4% |
Why Midland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.96.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Midland below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Club Atlético Güemes and Midland expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.41
Club Atlético Güemes and Midland attack and defence ratings
Club Atlético Güemes
Midland
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland: result vs prediction
Club Atlético Güemes 0 – 2 Midland
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
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Before and after this match
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 37.8% | 2.64 | +12.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Atlético Güemes | 30.2% |
| Draw | 32.0% | |
| Midland | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Midland win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 11.8% | |
| 0-0 | 10.2% |
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland stats
Club Atlético Güemes and Midland recent form
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LLDDDD |
| Midland |
WLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Atlético Güemes and Midland going into this match
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
Midland record
- They have won 12 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Midland | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Midland odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.4%, draw 32.9%, away 34.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.71 | 2.73 | 2.61 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.95 | 2.82 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.88 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 2.73 | 2.61 |
| Pinnacle | 2.89 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
| SBO | 2.65 | 2.73 | 2.46 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.75 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .