Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Midland
vs
Chacarita Juniors
1 – 0 Full time
| 18′ | D. Bulacio | ||
| 18′ | Chacarita Juniors | ||
| 26′ | T. Perez | ||
| 39′ | M. Flores | ||
| 44′ | S. Acosta | ||
| 47′ | N. Violini | ||
| 59′ | F. CristaldoP. Ortiz | ||
| 59′ | C. GuancaL. Bustos | ||
| 59′ | F. FacelloM. Sanabria | ||
| 68′ | R. LunaR. Cao | ||
| 68′ | M. AbruzzeseM. Frattini | ||
| 77′ | T. PerezY. Rouxel | ||
| 77′ | M. MelendezE. Gerez | ||
| 78′ | M. FloresV. Madalon | ||
| 89′ | R. Cao | ||
| 90′ | D. BulacioT. Borgogno | ||
| 90′ | M. RosetiD. Aguilar |
Midland
50%
Draw
31%
Chacarita Juniors
19%
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Midland vs Chacarita Juniors
| Probability | Midland | Draw | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.0% | 26.1% | 11.9% |
| Market | 45.7% | 32.5% | 21.8% |
| Final | 49.8% | 30.9% | 19.3% |
| Edge | +16.2% | -6.4% | -9.9% |
Why Midland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Midland below the model: +16.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
66%
3+ goals
38%
No goals
12%
Midland and Chacarita Juniors expected goals
Midland
1.63
Chacarita Juniors
0.58
Total expected goals: 2.21
Midland and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings
Midland
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
1.37 +37%
Chacarita Juniors
Attack
0.60 -40%
Defence
1.12 +12%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors: result vs prediction
Midland 1 – 0 Chacarita Juniors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez
- Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes — team news & stats
- Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
- All Boys v San Telmo — match page
- Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Central Norte — match page
- Quilmes v San Martin S.J. — match page
- Los Andes vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 49.8% | 2.01 | +16.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.0% | 2.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 49.8% |
| Draw | 30.9% | |
| Chacarita Juniors | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.5% |
| No | 63.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Midland win | 35.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 16.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 12.0% |
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors stats
Midland and Chacarita Juniors recent form
| Midland |
LLWLDD |
| Chacarita Juniors |
LLLDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Midland and Chacarita Juniors going into this match
Midland record
- They have won 11 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 7 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 0.9 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 15 of 28 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Midland wins
0Draws
1Chacarita Juniors wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Chacarita Juniors | Midland | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Midland vs Chacarita Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.5%, draw 32.0%, away 21.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 2.81 | 4.24 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.80 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 2.02 | 2.82 | 4.40 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 2.88 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.15 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 2.81 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 2.04 | 3.00 | 4.38 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 2.78 | 3.68 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.80 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.00 ▲ +0.15
X
2.81 ▼ -0.19
2
4.20 ▼ -0.20
12 snapshots recorded, from .