Atlanta
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
2 – 0 Full time
| 36′ | A. Quintana | ||
| 40′ | F. Rizzi | ||
| 47′ | R. Moreira | ||
| 53′ | A. Dramisino | ||
| 59′ | F. RizziD. Veliz | ||
| 59′ | C. LeinekerB. Gerez | ||
| 60′ | L. Guinazu | ||
| 64′ | T. Rojas | ||
| 68′ | T. Castro PonceF. Romero | ||
| 68′ | A. DramisinoJ. Puch | ||
| 72′ | A. BordonM. Gerez | ||
| 76′ | I. RodriguezF. Bisanz | ||
| 77′ | S. G. Sala | ||
| 87′ | F. AlvarezA. Morales | ||
| 87′ | A. QuintanaF. Castro | ||
| 90′ | M. Martinez |
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes
| Probability | Atlanta | Draw | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.3% | 23.8% | 11.9% |
| Market | 55.1% | 27.7% | 17.1% |
| Final | 57.4% | 26.8% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +9.2% | -3.9% | -5.3% |
Why Atlanta
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.66.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Atlanta below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes attack and defence ratings
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes: result vs prediction
Atlanta 2 – 0 Club Atlético Güemes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta | 57.4% | 1.74 | +9.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Atlanta win | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atlanta | 57.4% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.6% |
| No | 58.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atlanta win | 39.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 35.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.2% |
| 2-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes stats
Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes recent form
| Atlanta |
WLLWLW |
| Club Atlético Güemes |
LDDDDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atlanta and Club Atlético Güemes going into this match
Atlanta record
- They have won 14 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 28 matches.
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Club Atlético Güemes | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-06 | Atlanta | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-03 | Club Atlético Güemes | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-19 | Atlanta | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.8%, draw 27.7%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66 | 3.22 | 5.35 |
| 888Sport | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.30 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.90 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.67 | 3.40 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.64 | 3.22 | 5.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.42 | 5.66 |
| SBO | 1.64 | 3.05 | 4.72 |
| Superbet | 1.69 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| Unibet | 1.64 | 3.30 | 5.20 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.20 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .