Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 30
Tristan Suarez
vs
Atlanta
0 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | S. Ramirez | ||
| 53′ | A. Quintana | ||
| 57′ | M. Enrique | ||
| 64′ | S. RamirezJ. Beron | ||
| 69′ | N. Del Priore | ||
| 71′ | B. RiveroF. Romero | ||
| 71′ | J. PuchC. Bernardi | ||
| 79′ | F. Alvarez | ||
| 83′ | A. QuintanaA. Morales | ||
| 83′ | I. RodriguezF. Castro | ||
| 83′ | A. GalloK. Colli | ||
| 87′ | F. AlvarezF. Caceres | ||
| 90′ | D. BeckerM. Alvarez |
Tristan Suarez
52%
Draw
30%
Atlanta
18%
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta
| Probability | Tristan Suarez | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.7% | 25.5% | 8.8% |
| Market | 47.3% | 31.7% | 21.1% |
| Final | 51.9% | 30.1% | 18.0% |
| Edge | +18.5% | -6.2% | -12.3% |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.44.
- The market prices Tristan Suarez below the model: +18.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
86%
2+ goals
62%
3+ goals
34%
No goals
14%
Tristan Suarez and Atlanta expected goals
Tristan Suarez
1.61
Atlanta
0.44
Total expected goals: 2.05
Tristan Suarez and Atlanta attack and defence ratings
Tristan Suarez
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
0.57 -43%
Atlanta
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta: result vs prediction
Tristan Suarez 0 – 0 Atlanta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 30 fixtures
- Acassuso vs Atletico Mitre
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- San Telmo v CA Estudiantes — match page
- San Miguel vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Almagro — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
- Agropecuario v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
Before and after this match
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 51.9% | 1.93 | +18.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 51.9% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Atlanta | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 29.3% |
| No | 70.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 37.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.1% | |
| Loss | 34.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.8% |
| 2-0 | 16.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.8% |
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta stats
Tristan Suarez and Atlanta recent form
| Tristan Suarez |
DDWLWW |
| Atlanta |
WWLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tristan Suarez and Atlanta going into this match
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 14 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 19 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Atlanta record
- They have won 15 of their 29 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 29 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 29 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
2Tristan Suarez wins
3Draws
5Atlanta wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-18 | Tristan Suarez | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Tristan Suarez | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-17 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 3-2 |
| 2022-07-16 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2019-01-26 | Tristan Suarez | Atlanta | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-2 |
| 2018-08-18 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana | 4-0 |
| 2018-05-05 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-1 |
| 2018-03-07 | Atlanta | Tristan Suarez | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tristan Suarez vs Atlanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 31.7%, away 21.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.91 | 2.85 | 4.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 2.88 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 2.95 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.88 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.89 | 2.85 | 4.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.97 | 3.05 | 4.62 |
| SBO | 1.95 | 2.66 | 3.84 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.88 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.93 ▼ -0.12
X
2.88 ▲ +0.06
2
4.33 ▲ +0.35
10 snapshots recorded, from .