Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Club Atlético Güemes
vs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1 – 3 Full time
| 23′ | L. Gordillo | ||
| 32′ | F. GodoyM. Martinez | ||
| 44′ | F. Sivetti | ||
| 46′ | W. JuarezB. Gerez | ||
| 59′ | A. PintoI. Ortigoza | ||
| 62′ | J. Sanchez | ||
| 70′ | G. PuglieseD. Veliz | ||
| 70′ | T. BanegaM. Birge | ||
| 70′ | J. RoccaN. Rinaldi | ||
| 81′ | L. MontoyaA. Tallura | ||
| 86′ | W. Montoya | ||
| 86′ | J. GalettoJ. C. Oviedo | ||
| 86′ | F. RojasW. Montoya | ||
| 90′ | W. Montoya |
Club Atlético Güemes
30%
Draw
33%
Gimnasia Y Tiro
37%
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Probability | Club Atlético Güemes | Draw | Gimnasia Y Tiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.4% | 32.7% | 49.9% |
| Market | 34.6% | 32.6% | 32.8% |
| Final | 30.3% | 32.6% | 37.1% |
| Edge | -17.2% | +0.1% | +17.1% |
Why Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gimnasia Y Tiro below the model: +17.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
83%
2+ goals
56%
3+ goals
28%
No goals
17%
Club Atlético Güemes and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals
Club Atlético Güemes
0.61
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1.22
Total expected goals: 1.84
Club Atlético Güemes and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.51 +51%
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.77 -23%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: result vs prediction
Club Atlético Güemes 1 – 3 Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 37.1% | 2.70 | +17.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Atlético Güemes | 30.3% |
| Draw | 32.6% | |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 37.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.6% |
| No | 66.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Y Tiro win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 18.3% |
| 0-0 | 17.1% | |
| 1-1 | 13.2% |
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats
Club Atlético Güemes and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form
| Club Atlético Güemes |
DDDDLL |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
WLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Club Atlético Güemes and Gimnasia Y Tiro going into this match
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Club Atlético Güemes wins
2Draws
1Gimnasia Y Tiro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-20 | Club Atlético Güemes | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Club Atlético Güemes vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 32.4%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 2.84 | 2.74 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 2.85 | 2.70 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.85 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 2.84 | 2.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 2.96 | 2.93 |
| SBO | 2.57 | 2.61 | 2.50 |
| Unibet | 2.65 | 2.95 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.60 | 2.80 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.65 ▼ -0.25
X
2.82 ▼ -0.03
2
2.80 ▲ +0.30
10 snapshots recorded, from .