Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
San Martin Tucuman
vs
Club Atlético Güemes
1 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | S. G. Sala | ||
| 20′ | A. Galvan | ||
| 26′ | M. Garcia | ||
| 40′ | L. ArfarasM. Veron | ||
| 46′ | S. BrinoneG. Monroy | ||
| 62′ | F. Melillan | ||
| 63′ | G. PuglieseM. Martinez | ||
| 66′ | N. GallardoM. Garcia | ||
| 66′ | G. CarabajalA. Paz | ||
| 69′ | A. PintoM. Gerez | ||
| 69′ | J. SanchezC. Leineker | ||
| 75′ | A. Bordon | ||
| 78′ | S. G. SalaF. Rizzi | ||
| 80′ | M. GarciaN. Castro | ||
| 90′ | M. Garcia | ||
| 90′ | B. Cabrera |
San Martin Tucuman
62%
Draw
25%
Club Atlético Güemes
13%
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes
| Probability | San Martin Tucuman | Draw | Club Atlético Güemes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.5% | 19.7% | 7.7% |
| Market | 58.7% | 26.9% | 14.4% |
| Final | 62.1% | 25.1% | 12.7% |
| Edge | +13.9% | -7.2% | -6.7% |
Why San Martin Tucuman
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices San Martin Tucuman below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
San Martin Tucuman and Club Atlético Güemes expected goals
San Martin Tucuman
2.08
Club Atlético Güemes
0.55
Total expected goals: 2.63
San Martin Tucuman and Club Atlético Güemes attack and defence ratings
San Martin Tucuman
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Club Atlético Güemes
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.56 +56%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes: result vs prediction
San Martin Tucuman 1 – 1 Club Atlético Güemes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
Before and after this match
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 62.1% | 1.61 | +13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin Tucuman win | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin Tucuman | 62.1% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Club Atlético Güemes | 12.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.7% |
| No | 62.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin Tucuman win | 48.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 27.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.6% |
| 1-0 | 14.2% | |
| 3-0 | 10.8% |
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes stats
San Martin Tucuman and Club Atlético Güemes recent form
| San Martin Tucuman |
WDDLLD |
| Club Atlético Güemes |
DDDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin Tucuman and Club Atlético Güemes going into this match
San Martin Tucuman record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Club Atlético Güemes record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3San Martin Tucuman wins
4Draws
1Club Atlético Güemes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Club Atlético Güemes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-07-06 | Club Atlético Güemes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-02 | San Martin Tucuman | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-10-27 | San Martin Tucuman | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2024-06-09 | Club Atlético Güemes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2023-09-23 | San Martin Tucuman | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-05-15 | Club Atlético Güemes | San Martin Tucuman | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | San Martin Tucuman | Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.7%, draw 26.9%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.57 | 3.25 | 6.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.42 | 6.19 |
| 888Sport | 1.53 | 3.40 | 6.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 3.50 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.57 | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.30 | 6.90 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.40 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.57 | 3.55 | 6.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.53 | 3.42 | 6.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56 | 3.66 | 7.17 |
| SBO | 1.57 | 3.16 | 5.22 |
| Superbet | 1.57 | 3.55 | 6.30 |
| Unibet | 1.57 | 3.45 | 5.75 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 3.40 | 6.50 |