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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 26

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela

0 – 0 Full time

Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero

Club Atlético Güemes 33%
Draw 35%
Atletico DE Rafaela 32%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityClub Atlético GüemesDrawAtletico DE Rafaela
Model28.3%37.9%33.8%
Market33.9%34.5%31.6%
Final32.5%35.4%32.1%
Edge-5.6%+3.3%+2.2%

Confidence: Low

Why the draw

  • The market prices the draw below the model: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Club Atlético ↓ / Atletico DE Ra → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 16% 1 14% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 22%

Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico DE Rafaela expected goals

Club Atlético Güemes 0.75
Atletico DE Rafaela 0.85

Total expected goals: 1.60

Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico DE Rafaela attack and defence ratings

Club Atlético Güemes

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.75 +75%

Atletico DE Rafaela

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela: result vs prediction

Club Atlético Güemes 0 – 0 Atletico DE Rafaela

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 35.4% 2.83 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.4% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 68.6% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 67.9% 1.47 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 71.7% 1.40 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Club Atlético Güemes32.5%
Draw35.4%
Atletico DE Rafaela32.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.6%
Under 2.578.4%
Both teams to scoreYes31.4%
No68.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.9%
12 (either side)64.6%
X2 (draw or away)67.5%
Handicap -1Club Atlético Güemes win9.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.3%
Loss71.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.5%
0-115.8%
1-114.2%

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela stats

Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico DE Rafaela recent form

newest first
Club Atlético Güemes DDLLLL
Atletico DE Rafaela DWDWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Club Atlético Güemes and Atletico DE Rafaela going into this match

league record before kick-off

Club Atlético Güemes record

  • They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.

Atletico DE Rafaela record

  • They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.1 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Club Atlético Güemes wins 2Draws 1Atletico DE Rafaela wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Atletico DE RafaelaClub Atlético GüemesPrimera Nacional1-2
2022-10-02Club Atlético GüemesAtletico DE RafaelaPrimera Nacional1-1
2021-09-04Atletico DE RafaelaClub Atlético GüemesPrimera Nacional1-1
2021-04-25Club Atlético GüemesAtletico DE RafaelaPrimera Nacional0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Club Atlético Güemes vs Atletico DE Rafaela odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 34.5%, away 31.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.65 2.65 2.85
1xBet 2.66 2.61 2.85
888Sport 2.70 2.63 3.00
Bet365 2.80 2.70 2.90
Betano 2.72 2.62 3.00
Betfair 2.60 2.75 2.80
Dafabet 2.80 2.70 2.90
Marathonbet 2.66 2.61 2.85
Pinnacle 2.89 2.73 2.97
SBO 2.64 2.57 2.60
Superbet 2.77 2.70 2.95
Unibet 2.40 2.80 3.00
William Hill 2.70 2.62 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▼ -0.05
X 2.65 ▼ -0.05
2 2.90 ▲ +0.01

6 snapshots recorded, from .