Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 26

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy

3 – 3 Full time

Patronato 43%
Draw 30%
Gimnasia Jujuy 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPatronatoDrawGimnasia Jujuy
Model42.7%28.0%29.3%
Market42.6%30.6%26.8%
Final42.7%29.9%27.4%
Edge+0.1%-2.6%+2.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Patronato ↓ / Gimnasia Jujuy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Patronato and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals

Patronato 1.49
Gimnasia Jujuy 1.20

Total expected goals: 2.69

Patronato and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings

Patronato

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Gimnasia Jujuy

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy: result vs prediction

Patronato 3 – 3 Gimnasia Jujuy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 26 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Patronato 42.7% 2.34 +0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.3% 1.81 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.6% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.2% 1.75 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Patronato42.7%
Draw29.9%
Gimnasia Jujuy27.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.3%
No44.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.6%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)57.3%
Handicap -1Patronato win21.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss57.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
2-19.0%
1-08.9%

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats

Patronato and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form

newest first
Patronato LDDLDL
Gimnasia Jujuy WLLLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Patronato and Gimnasia Jujuy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Patronato record

  • They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimnasia Jujuy record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Patronato wins 0Draws 1Gimnasia Jujuy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-05Gimnasia JujuyPatronatoPrimera Nacional2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 30.7%, away 27.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.30 3.00 3.00
1xBet 2.12 2.98 3.42
888Sport 2.15 2.90 3.50
Bet365 2.20 3.00 3.60
BetVictor 2.15 3.13 3.40
Betano 2.22 2.92 3.45
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.30
Dafabet 2.21 3.05 3.45
Marathonbet 2.10 2.98 3.35
Pinnacle 2.20 3.13 3.62
SBO 2.08 2.91 3.05
Superbet 2.22 3.05 3.40
Unibet 2.33 3.00 2.95
William Hill 2.15 2.90 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.17
X 3.00 —
2 3.42 ▲ +0.38

2 snapshots recorded, from .