Defensores De Belgrano
vs
Almirante Brown
0 – 2 Full time
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
| Probability | Defensores De Belgrano | Draw | Almirante Brown |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.0% | 41.3% | 34.7% |
| Market | 42.4% | 35.6% | 21.9% |
| Final | 37.8% | 37.0% | 25.1% |
| Edge | -18.4% | +5.7% | +12.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Defensores De Belgrano and Almirante Brown expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.35
Defensores De Belgrano and Almirante Brown attack and defence ratings
Defensores De Belgrano
Almirante Brown
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown: result vs prediction
Defensores De Belgrano 0 – 2 Almirante Brown
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 37.8% | 2.64 | -18.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 37.8% |
| Draw | 37.0% | |
| Almirante Brown | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 15.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 84.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 24.7% |
| No | 75.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensores De Belgrano win | 6.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.7% | |
| Loss | 76.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 27.2% |
| 0-1 | 18.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.1% |
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown stats
Defensores De Belgrano and Almirante Brown recent form
| Defensores De Belgrano |
DLDDLW |
| Almirante Brown |
LWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensores De Belgrano and Almirante Brown going into this match
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Almirante Brown | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Almirante Brown | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2025-06-06 | Defensores De Belgrano | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.5%, draw 35.5%, away 22.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 2.60 | 4.10 |
| 1xBet | 2.12 | 2.48 | 4.46 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 2.50 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 2.62 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.75 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 2.55 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 2.60 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.17 | 2.70 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 2.10 | 2.48 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 2.57 | 4.71 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 2.62 | 3.53 |
| Superbet | 2.17 | 2.67 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.50 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .