Almirante Brown
vs
Deportivo Madryn
1 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | T. Villoldo | ||
| 22′ | C. Corvalan | ||
| 35′ | F. GiacopuzziN. D. Ortiz | ||
| 61′ | C. MachadoF. Bersano | ||
| 61′ | J. CosiA. Dionisio | ||
| 64′ | G. FloresJ. Ibanez | ||
| 64′ | M. ZanottiJ. Lopez | ||
| 66′ | L. DiarteA. Martinez | ||
| 66′ | L. MarinucciJ. Peinipil | ||
| 71′ | L. PascualR. Gonzalez | ||
| 81′ | L. JaraJ. Velazquez | ||
| 81′ | M. SantiagoS. Gauna | ||
| 86′ | R. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | R. Gonzalez | ||
| 90′ | R. Gonzalez |
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
| Probability | Almirante Brown | Draw | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.9% | 33.4% | 25.7% |
| Market | 35.3% | 33.6% | 31.0% |
| Final | 36.7% | 33.6% | 29.7% |
| Edge | +5.6% | -0.3% | -5.3% |
Why Almirante Brown
- The market prices Almirante Brown below the model: +5.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.96
Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn attack and defence ratings
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Madryn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn: result vs prediction
Almirante Brown 1 – 0 Deportivo Madryn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 36.7% | 2.72 | +5.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 36.7% |
| Draw | 33.6% | |
| Deportivo Madryn | 29.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.7% |
| No | 60.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almirante Brown win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 59.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.4% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.5% |
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn stats
Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn recent form
| Almirante Brown |
WLWWDD |
| Deportivo Madryn |
WWDWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn going into this match
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Deportivo Madryn | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.3%, draw 33.6%, away 31.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 2.75 | 3.05 |
| 888Sport | 2.63 | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 2.75 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.70 | 2.75 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 2.70 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.43 | 2.75 | 2.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.58 | 2.71 | 3.23 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.62 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .