Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 28

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown

0 – 0 Full time

30′T. Villoldo
32′G. Alegre Rojas
47′G. Mancuso
56′E. Cardozo
60′M. Villarreal
66′G. MancusoT. Castro
67′M. Santiago
71′M. Rosales
71′L. JaraS. Gauna
71′M. ZanottiE. Martinez
74′E. BodencerM. Moravec
75′G. FloresT. Almada
81′M. RosalesL. Felissia
81′S. QuirogaA. Bustinduy
85′L. PascualJ. Velazquez
85′M. SantiagoG. Moreyra

Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena, Salta

Central Norte 28%
Draw 37%
Almirante Brown 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Almirante Brown

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCentral NorteDrawAlmirante Brown
Model27.5%36.9%35.6%
Market———
Final27.5%36.9%35.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Central Norte ↓ / Almirante Brow → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 20% 16% 1 13% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 80%
2+ goals 51%
3+ goals 23%
No goals 20%

Central Norte and Almirante Brown expected goals

Central Norte 0.76
Almirante Brown 0.91

Total expected goals: 1.67

Central Norte and Almirante Brown attack and defence ratings

Central Norte

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Almirante Brown

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown: result vs prediction

Central Norte 0 – 0 Almirante Brown

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 28 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 36.9% 2.71 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 76.5% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score No 66.8% 1.50 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 72.5% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.5% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Central Norte27.5%
Draw36.9%
Almirante Brown35.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.523.5%
Under 2.576.5%
Both teams to scoreYes33.2%
No66.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.4%
12 (either side)63.1%
X2 (draw or away)72.5%
Handicap -1Almirante Brown win13.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss64.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-020.1%
0-115.7%
1-114.3%

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown stats

Central Norte and Almirante Brown recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Central Norte and Almirante Brown going into this match

league record before kick-off

Central Norte record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.

Almirante Brown record

  • They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Central Norte wins 1Draws 1Almirante Brown wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-19Almirante BrownCentral NortePrimera Nacional1-0
2025-08-10Almirante BrownCentral NortePrimera Nacional0-0
2025-04-06Central NorteAlmirante BrownPrimera Nacional2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Central Norte vs Almirante Brown odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.