Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 27
Atletico Mitre
vs
Central Norte
2 – 2 Full time
| 26′ | F. CabralJ. Zarate | ||
| 41′ | M. Machado | ||
| 44′ | J. Zarate | ||
| 46′ | G. MancusoE. Bodencer | ||
| 47′ | M. Rosales | ||
| 56′ | M. MoravecS. Quiroga | ||
| 56′ | A. BustinduyF. Vedoya | ||
| 67′ | R. GonzalezO. Garrido | ||
| 73′ | B. Mieres | ||
| 74′ | M. RosalesT. Taobas | ||
| 79′ | B. MieresP. Minissale | ||
| 79′ | M. MachadoS. Rodriguez | ||
| 82′ | P. SanzJ. Mateo | ||
| 85′ | M. Romero | ||
| 90′ | F. Borda |
Atletico Mitre
40%
Draw
32%
Central Norte
28%
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte
| Probability | Atletico Mitre | Draw | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.2% | 32.1% | 27.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 40.2% | 32.1% | 27.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Atletico Mitre
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Atletico Mitre and Central Norte expected goals
Atletico Mitre
1.19
Central Norte
0.94
Total expected goals: 2.13
Atletico Mitre and Central Norte attack and defence ratings
Atletico Mitre
Attack
1.01 +1%
Defence
1.49 +49%
Central Norte
Attack
0.89 -11%
Defence
1.03 +3%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte: result vs prediction
Atletico Mitre 2 – 2 Central Norte
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Mitre | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Mitre | 40.2% |
| Draw | 32.1% | |
| Central Norte | 27.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.7% |
| No | 56.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Mitre win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-0 | 12.8% |
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte stats
Atletico Mitre and Central Norte recent form
| Atletico Mitre |
LDWWDW |
| Central Norte |
DWDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico Mitre and Central Norte going into this match
Atletico Mitre record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Atletico Mitre wins
1Draws
1Central Norte wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Central Norte | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-07-27 | Atletico Mitre | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-03-23 | Central Norte | Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.