Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 21
Central Norte
vs
Deportivo Moron
0 – 0 Full time
Central Norte
32%
Draw
28%
Deportivo Moron
39%
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron
| Probability | Central Norte | Draw | Deportivo Moron |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 32.3% | 28.3% | 39.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 32.3% | 28.3% | 39.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Deportivo Moron
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Central Norte and Deportivo Moron expected goals
Central Norte
1.26
Deportivo Moron
1.41
Total expected goals: 2.68
Central Norte and Deportivo Moron attack and defence ratings
Central Norte
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.14 +14%
Deportivo Moron
Attack
1.75 +75%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron: result vs prediction
Central Norte 0 – 0 Deportivo Moron
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Moron | 39.4% | 2.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 32.3% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Deportivo Moron | 39.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.5% |
| No | 44.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Moron win | 19.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 60.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 0-1 | 8.5% |
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron stats
Central Norte and Deportivo Moron recent form
| Central Norte |
WDDWLL |
| Deportivo Moron |
DWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Norte and Deportivo Moron going into this match
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
Deportivo Moron record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 6 penalties (100%).
Central Norte vs Deportivo Moron head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
0Central Norte wins
1Draws
2Deportivo Moron wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Deportivo Moron | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-06-22 | Central Norte | Deportivo Moron | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-02-16 | Deportivo Moron | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.