Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 26
Central Norte
vs
CA Estudiantes
2 – 1 Full time
Central Norte
29%
Draw
36%
CA Estudiantes
35%
Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes
| Probability | Central Norte | Draw | CA Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 35.9% | 34.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 29.3% | 35.9% | 34.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
54%
3+ goals
26%
No goals
18%
Central Norte and CA Estudiantes expected goals
Central Norte
0.83
CA Estudiantes
0.93
Total expected goals: 1.76
Central Norte and CA Estudiantes attack and defence ratings
Central Norte
Attack
0.84 -16%
Defence
1.15 +15%
CA Estudiantes
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes: result vs prediction
Central Norte 2 – 1 CA Estudiantes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Acassuso v Godoy Cruz — match page
- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Tristan Suarez v Agropecuario — match page
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Almagro v Colegiales — match page
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 29.3% |
| Draw | 35.9% | |
| CA Estudiantes | 34.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.6% |
| No | 64.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Estudiantes win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 65.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.5% |
| 0-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes stats
Central Norte and CA Estudiantes recent form
| Central Norte |
DDWLLD |
| CA Estudiantes |
WLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Norte and CA Estudiantes going into this match
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
CA Estudiantes record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Central Norte vs CA Estudiantes head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Central Norte wins
1Draws
1CA Estudiantes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | CA Estudiantes | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-06-29 | CA Estudiantes | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Central Norte | CA Estudiantes | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.