Tristan Suarez
vs
Agropecuario
2 – 0 Full time
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario
| Probability | Tristan Suarez | Draw | Agropecuario |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.4% | 27.5% | 12.1% |
| Market | 50.7% | 30.6% | 18.7% |
| Final | 53.1% | 29.8% | 17.1% |
| Edge | +9.8% | -3.1% | -6.6% |
Why Tristan Suarez
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices Tristan Suarez below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tristan Suarez and Agropecuario expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.09
Tristan Suarez and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings
Tristan Suarez
Agropecuario
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction
Tristan Suarez 2 – 0 Agropecuario
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
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- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Almagro v Colegiales — match page
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
Before and after this match
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 53.1% | 1.88 | +9.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tristan Suarez | 53.1% |
| Draw | 29.8% | |
| Agropecuario | 17.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.3% |
| No | 65.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tristan Suarez win | 33.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.0% |
| 2-0 | 14.6% | |
| 0-0 | 13.5% |
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario stats
Tristan Suarez and Agropecuario recent form
| Tristan Suarez |
WWWWWL |
| Agropecuario |
WWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tristan Suarez and Agropecuario going into this match
Tristan Suarez record
- They have won 14 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 17 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 5 penalties (80%).
Agropecuario record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Agropecuario | Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-12 | Tristan Suarez | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tristan Suarez vs Agropecuario odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 30.6%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 3.02 | 5.00 |
| 888Sport | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.75 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.00 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| Dafabet | 1.85 | 3.05 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 3.02 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.17 | 5.40 |
| SBO | 1.86 | 2.75 | 4.03 |
| Superbet | 1.85 | 3.05 | 4.90 |
| Unibet | 1.78 | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.90 | 4.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .