Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 27

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario

1 – 1 Full time

38′E. AguirreJ. Valdez
57′H. SoriaF. Paradela
57′A. ArganarazJ. Franzoni
57′M. CachiC. Menendez
69′C. Menendez
70′T. LecandaF. Sanchez
70′R. MosqueiraD. Ruiz Diaz
78′A. AlonsoC. Pombo
84′D. GallardoG. Villarreal
90′J. Varela
90′J. Vega

Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy

Gimnasia Jujuy 52%
Draw 27%
Agropecuario 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia JujuyDrawAgropecuario
Model55.1%25.8%19.1%
Market50.8%27.9%21.4%
Final51.9%27.3%20.8%
Edge+4.3%-2.0%-2.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Gimnasia Jujuy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.74 vs 0.94.
  • The market prices Gimnasia Jujuy below the model: +4.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia Jujuy ↓ / Agropecuario → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 12% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Gimnasia Jujuy and Agropecuario expected goals

Gimnasia Jujuy 1.74
Agropecuario 0.94

Total expected goals: 2.68

Gimnasia Jujuy and Agropecuario attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia Jujuy

Attack 1.40 +40%
Defence 1.42 +42%

Agropecuario

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario: result vs prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy 1 – 1 Agropecuario

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 27 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia Jujuy 51.9% 1.93 +4.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.1% 2.00 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.3% 1.95 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.2% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.9% 2.23 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia Jujuy51.9%
Draw27.3%
Agropecuario20.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.1%
Under 2.549.9%
Both teams to scoreYes51.3%
No48.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.2%
12 (either side)72.7%
X2 (draw or away)48.1%
Handicap -1Gimnasia Jujuy win31.5%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss44.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-010.8%
2-010.4%

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario stats

Gimnasia Jujuy and Agropecuario recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia Jujuy and Agropecuario going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia Jujuy record

  • They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Agropecuario record

  • They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Gimnasia Jujuy wins 3Draws 1Agropecuario wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12AgropecuarioGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-2
2025-09-21Gimnasia JujuyAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional0-2
2025-05-19AgropecuarioGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-1
2024-07-21Gimnasia JujuyAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-1
2024-03-02AgropecuarioGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-2
2022-09-17Gimnasia JujuyAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-0
2019-04-20Gimnasia JujuyAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional0-0
2018-02-27Gimnasia JujuyAgropecuarioPrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Agropecuario odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.8%, draw 27.9%, away 21.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.80 3.25 4.20
1xBet 1.81 3.25 4.18
Bet365 1.85 3.40 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.50
Betano 1.83 3.30 4.35
Betfair 1.75 3.30 4.33
Dafabet 1.83 3.40 4.40
Marathonbet 1.79 3.25 4.10
Pinnacle 1.85 3.37 4.51
SBO 1.74 3.07 4.04
Superbet 1.85 3.35 4.30
Unibet 1.79 3.25 4.20
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.02
X 3.30 ▲ +0.05
2 4.30 ▼ -0.24

3 snapshots recorded, from .