Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Almagro
vs
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | J. Varela | ||
| 35′ | J. Orlando | ||
| 44′ | F. De La Vega | ||
| 46′ | D. MinervinoM. Cachi | ||
| 46′ | C. MenendezO. Bianchi | ||
| 48′ | M. Lazarte | ||
| 60′ | J. Varela | ||
| 61′ | C. PomboF. Paradela | ||
| 61′ | J. VarelaA. Alonso | ||
| 62′ | S. Chamorro | ||
| 68′ | F. De La VegaT. Dornell | ||
| 72′ | M. LazarteE. Endrizzi | ||
| 74′ | F. Molina | ||
| 78′ | E. MartinezT. Lopez | ||
| 78′ | T. MaciesC. Salto | ||
| 80′ | F. Paradela | ||
| 87′ | J. MarchioniJ. Fernandes |
Almagro
37%
Draw
31%
Gimnasia Jujuy
32%
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy
| Probability | Almagro | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.4% | 28.6% | 23.1% |
| Market | 33.3% | 31.8% | 34.9% |
| Final | 37.0% | 31.0% | 32.0% |
| Edge | +15.1% | -3.2% | -11.9% |
Why Almagro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.96.
- The market prices Almagro below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
72%
3+ goals
44%
No goals
10%
Almagro and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals
Almagro
1.49
Gimnasia Jujuy
0.96
Total expected goals: 2.45
Almagro and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings
Almagro
Attack
0.92 -8%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack
1.37 +37%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy: result vs prediction
Almagro 1 – 2 Gimnasia Jujuy
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 37.0% | 2.70 | +15.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 37.0% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almagro win | 25.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 51.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.8% |
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats
Almagro and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form
| Almagro |
WDLDLD |
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
DDWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almagro and Gimnasia Jujuy going into this match
Almagro record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 13 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
5Almagro wins
3Draws
1Gimnasia Jujuy wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 6-1 |
| 2022-07-23 | Almagro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2021-08-01 | Almagro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2021-03-20 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2020-11-28 | Almagro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2019-11-16 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2019-03-24 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2018-07-29 | Almagro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Copa Argentina | 1-0 |
| 2018-02-03 | Almagro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 33.4%, draw 31.6%, away 35.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 2.85 | 2.57 |
| 888Sport | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 2.75 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 2.95 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 2.95 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 2.85 | 2.57 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.03 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.48 | 2.75 | 2.48 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 2.88 | 2.55 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.75 ▼ -0.25
X
2.88 ▲ +0.08
2
2.62 ▲ +0.17
12 snapshots recorded, from .