Patronato
vs
Almagro
0 – 1 Full time
| 45′ | F. De La Vega | ||
| 46′ | V. L. PereyraF. Meritello | ||
| 46′ | G. SalegaF. Moreyra | ||
| 46′ | D. DiazB. Bravo | ||
| 46′ | J. SalasT. Attis | ||
| 47′ | J. Bustos | ||
| 55′ | J. Orlando | ||
| 59′ | S. Piccioni | ||
| 61′ | B. Cortes | ||
| 67′ | T. Macies | ||
| 69′ | J. BustosJ. Fernandes | ||
| 75′ | F. BustamanteJ. Vitale | ||
| 75′ | F. De La VegaT. Dornell | ||
| 78′ | F. SoldanoR. Reynaga | ||
| 80′ | B. Negro | ||
| 84′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 86′ | N. TolosaE. Silcan | ||
| 86′ | J. OrlandoC. Salto |
Patronato vs Almagro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Patronato vs Almagro
| Probability | Patronato | Draw | Almagro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.6% | 26.8% | 20.6% |
| Market | 54.1% | 29.2% | 16.7% |
| Final | 53.7% | 28.6% | 17.7% |
| Edge | -1.4% | -2.4% | +3.9% |
Why Patronato
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.95.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Patronato and Almagro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Patronato and Almagro attack and defence ratings
Patronato
Almagro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Patronato vs Almagro: result vs prediction
Patronato 0 – 1 Almagro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 27 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Colegiales v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Tristan Suarez
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Defensores De Belgrano — match page
- Midland vs Nueva Chicago — team news & stats
- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- All Boys vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Patronato vs Almagro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 53.7% | 1.86 | -1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.6% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Patronato | 53.7% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Almagro | 17.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.9% |
| No | 49.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Patronato win | 29.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.5% | |
| Loss | 47.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 1-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.1% |
Patronato vs Almagro stats
Patronato and Almagro recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Patronato and Almagro going into this match
Patronato record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almagro record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Patronato vs Almagro head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Almagro | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Patronato | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-25 | Almagro | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Patronato vs Almagro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.1%, draw 29.2%, away 16.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.15 | 5.45 |
| 888Sport | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.20 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.25 | 5.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.15 | 5.35 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.30 | 5.81 |
| Unibet | 1.89 | 3.00 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .