Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Deportivo Maipu
vs
Patronato
0 – 0 Full time
| 30′ | S. Paulini | ||
| 32′ | F. Heredia | ||
| 46′ | B. BravoH. Rivero | ||
| 54′ | L. CabreraM. Viguet | ||
| 59′ | D. DiazJ. Barolin | ||
| 64′ | T. SilvaD. Yavante Gaitan | ||
| 64′ | J. VeraJ. Giacone | ||
| 77′ | F. HerediaF. Evangelista | ||
| 77′ | J. SalasG. Salega | ||
| 80′ | A. Sosa | ||
| 84′ | G. DiazF. N. Diaz | ||
| 89′ | J. de la RetaN. Fernandez | ||
| 89′ | M. BonfigliB. Orosco |
Deportivo Maipu
49%
Draw
29%
Patronato
22%
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato
| Probability | Deportivo Maipu | Draw | Patronato |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.1% | 24.3% | 15.6% |
| Market | 44.9% | 31.0% | 24.1% |
| Final | 48.7% | 29.3% | 22.0% |
| Edge | +15.1% | -6.6% | -8.5% |
Why Deportivo Maipu
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Maipu below the model: +15.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Deportivo Maipu and Patronato expected goals
Deportivo Maipu
1.85
Patronato
0.84
Total expected goals: 2.69
Deportivo Maipu and Patronato attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Maipu
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Patronato
Attack
1.19 +19%
Defence
1.41 +41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato: result vs prediction
Deportivo Maipu 0 – 0 Patronato
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 48.7% | 2.05 | +15.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Maipu | 48.7% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| Patronato | 22.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.1% |
| No | 50.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Maipu win | 35.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 40.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-0 | 11.5% |
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato stats
Deportivo Maipu and Patronato recent form
| Deportivo Maipu |
LWWLWL |
| Patronato |
LWDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Maipu and Patronato going into this match
Deportivo Maipu record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 27 matches.
Patronato record
- They have won 5 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
2Deportivo Maipu wins
2Draws
1Patronato wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-16 | Deportivo Maipu | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-18 | Deportivo Maipu | Patronato | Primera Nacional | 3-1 |
| 2024-03-31 | Patronato | Deportivo Maipu | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Maipu vs Patronato odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 30.7%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.00 | 2.95 | 3.84 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.05 | 3.05 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 2.95 | 3.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.06 | 3.13 | 4.04 |
| SBO | 2.03 | 2.71 | 3.24 |
| Unibet | 2.16 | 3.05 | 3.50 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.05 ▼ -0.13
X
2.98 ▲ +0.08
2
3.82 ▲ +0.22
12 snapshots recorded, from .