Gimnasia Y Tiro
vs
Chacarita Juniors
1 – 0 Full time
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors
| Probability | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Draw | Chacarita Juniors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 27.9% | 9.9% |
| Market | 49.7% | 30.0% | 20.2% |
| Final | 52.9% | 29.5% | 17.6% |
| Edge | +12.5% | -2.1% | -10.4% |
Why Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Gimnasia Y Tiro below the model: +12.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Chacarita Juniors expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.91
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Chacarita Juniors attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Chacarita Juniors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors: result vs prediction
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1 – 0 Chacarita Juniors
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- Atletico Mitre vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn
- Patronato v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 52.9% | 1.89 | +12.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.1% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.7% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 52.9% |
| Draw | 29.5% | |
| Chacarita Juniors | 17.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.3% |
| No | 71.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Y Tiro win | 33.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.7% | |
| Loss | 37.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 20.8% |
| 2-0 | 16.1% | |
| 0-0 | 15.8% |
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors stats
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Chacarita Juniors recent form
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
LDWWWW |
| Chacarita Juniors |
LDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Chacarita Juniors going into this match
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Chacarita Juniors | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Chacarita Juniors odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 30.0%, away 20.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.83 | 2.95 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 3.08 | 4.42 |
| 888Sport | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.87 | 3.05 | 4.60 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.10 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.87 | 3.10 | 4.70 |
| Marathonbet | 1.80 | 3.08 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 3.12 | 4.61 |
| Superbet | 1.88 | 3.15 | 4.55 |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 3.00 | 4.25 |
| William Hill | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .