Chacarita Juniors
vs
San Martin Tucuman
1 – 2 Full time
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman
| Probability | Chacarita Juniors | Draw | San Martin Tucuman |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.7% | 37.3% | 28.0% |
| Market | 35.2% | 34.1% | 30.7% |
| Final | 35.0% | 34.9% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -0.5% | +3.2% | -2.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chacarita Juniors and San Martin Tucuman expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
Chacarita Juniors and San Martin Tucuman attack and defence ratings
Chacarita Juniors
San Martin Tucuman
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman: result vs prediction
Chacarita Juniors 1 – 2 San Martin Tucuman
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Acassuso v Godoy Cruz — match page
- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Tristan Suarez v Agropecuario — match page
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Almagro v Colegiales — match page
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 35.0% | 2.85 | -0.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chacarita Juniors | 35.0% |
| Draw | 34.9% | |
| San Martin Tucuman | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.4% |
| No | 67.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chacarita Juniors win | 12.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 65.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.8% |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.3% |
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman stats
Chacarita Juniors and San Martin Tucuman recent form
| Chacarita Juniors |
DLLWLD |
| San Martin Tucuman |
DDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chacarita Juniors and San Martin Tucuman going into this match
Chacarita Juniors record
- They have won 7 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 27 matches.
San Martin Tucuman record
- They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | San Martin Tucuman | Chacarita Juniors | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chacarita Juniors vs San Martin Tucuman odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 34.1%, away 30.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 2.63 | 3.03 |
| 888Sport | 2.63 | 2.63 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.63 | 2.75 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 2.70 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 2.75 | 3.05 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 2.63 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.68 | 2.79 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 2.59 | 2.78 |
| Superbet | 2.67 | 2.70 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.63 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.62 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .