San Martin S.J.
vs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3 – 1 Full time
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Probability | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Gimnasia Y Tiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.8% | 38.3% | 32.0% |
| Market | 45.4% | 32.4% | 22.2% |
| Final | 41.5% | 33.9% | 24.7% |
| Edge | -15.6% | +5.9% | +9.7% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.57
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: result vs prediction
San Martin S.J. 3 – 1 Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Acassuso v Godoy Cruz — match page
- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Tristan Suarez v Agropecuario — match page
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- Almagro v Colegiales — match page
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
Before and after this match
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 41.5% | 2.41 | -15.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.2% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 41.5% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 24.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.8% |
| No | 69.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win | 9.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 70.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.1% |
| 0-1 | 15.5% | |
| 1-0 | 14.7% |
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form
| San Martin S.J. |
DDDLWL |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
DWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Y Tiro going into this match
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 10 of their 26 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 8 clean sheets in 26 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 26 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 28 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.6%, draw 32.0%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.91 | 2.95 | 4.20 |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 2.80 | 4.08 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 2.90 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 2.80 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.03 | 2.90 | 4.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 2.80 | 3.98 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 2.98 | 4.21 |
| SBO | 2.00 | 2.72 | 3.55 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 2.90 | 4.25 |
| Unibet | 2.00 | 2.90 | 3.80 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 2.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .