Almagro
vs
Colegiales
0 – 0 Full time
Almagro vs Colegiales overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almagro vs Colegiales
| Probability | Almagro | Draw | Colegiales |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 30.6% | 27.7% |
| Market | 32.8% | 34.4% | 32.8% |
| Final | 35.0% | 33.4% | 31.5% |
| Edge | +8.8% | -3.8% | -5.1% |
Why Almagro
- The market prices Almagro below the model: +8.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Almagro and Colegiales expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.30
Almagro and Colegiales attack and defence ratings
Almagro
Colegiales
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almagro vs Colegiales: result vs prediction
Almagro 0 – 0 Colegiales
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 26 fixtures
- Acassuso v Godoy Cruz — match page
- San Telmo vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Atletico Mitre
- Tristan Suarez v Agropecuario — match page
- Patronato vs Gimnasia Jujuy — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Nueva Chicago vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Almirante Brown
Before and after this match
Almagro vs Colegiales markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 35.0% | 2.86 | +8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almagro | 35.0% |
| Draw | 33.4% | |
| Colegiales | 31.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almagro win | 19.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Almagro vs Colegiales stats
Almagro and Colegiales recent form
| Almagro |
LDLDWL |
| Colegiales |
LDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almagro and Colegiales going into this match
Almagro record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Colegiales record
- They have won 10 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 27 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Almagro vs Colegiales head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Colegiales | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Colegiales | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Almagro | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Almagro vs Colegiales odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 34.3%, away 32.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.62 | 2.75 | 2.85 |
| 1xBet | 2.70 | 2.64 | 2.77 |
| 888Sport | 2.80 | 2.63 | 2.80 |
| Bet365 | 3.00 | 2.62 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 2.88 | 2.75 | 2.80 |
| Betano | 2.85 | 2.67 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 2.75 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 2.70 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.70 | 2.64 | 2.77 |
| Pinnacle | 2.90 | 2.77 | 2.90 |
| SBO | 2.67 | 2.61 | 2.54 |
| Superbet | 2.82 | 2.70 | 2.87 |
| Unibet | 2.48 | 2.75 | 2.95 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 2.62 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .