Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 28
Deportivo Madryn
vs
Ciudad de Bolívar
3 – 1 Full time
| 24′ | A. Carrion | ||
| 27′ | A. Gonzalez | ||
| 30′ | B. Quintana | ||
| 32′ | J. Cosi | ||
| 40′ | E. Navarro | ||
| 42′ | N. Solis | ||
| 45′ | B. Quintana | ||
| 45′ | B. Quintana | ||
| 46′ | J. CosiA. Dionisio | ||
| 46′ | C. MachadoF. Recalde | ||
| 46′ | G. SanchezT. Fernandez | ||
| 46′ | A. CarrionT. Guiacobini | ||
| 58′ | T. Fernandez | ||
| 62′ | L. DiarteJ. Peinipil | ||
| 66′ | A. GonzalezM. Gutierrez | ||
| 67′ | F. Recalde | ||
| 71′ | L. Silba | ||
| 72′ | N. Servetto | ||
| 73′ | F. MucignatL. Villegas | ||
| 75′ | N. ServettoD. Martinez | ||
| 75′ | L. MarinucciE. Montagna | ||
| 82′ | N. D. Ortiz | ||
| 84′ | K. CaraballoF. Ilarregui | ||
| 90′ | L. Silba |
Deportivo Madryn
58%
Draw
27%
Ciudad de Bolívar
15%
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar
| Probability | Deportivo Madryn | Draw | Ciudad de Bolívar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.9% | 22.3% | 8.8% |
| Market | 54.9% | 28.5% | 16.6% |
| Final | 58.4% | 26.9% | 14.7% |
| Edge | +13.9% | -6.2% | -7.8% |
Why Deportivo Madryn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Deportivo Madryn below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
90%
2+ goals
70%
3+ goals
43%
No goals
10%
Deportivo Madryn and Ciudad de Bolívar expected goals
Deportivo Madryn
1.87
Ciudad de Bolívar
0.54
Total expected goals: 2.41
Deportivo Madryn and Ciudad de Bolívar attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Madryn
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Ciudad de Bolívar
Attack
0.90 -10%
Defence
1.13 +13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar: result vs prediction
Deportivo Madryn 3 – 1 Ciudad de Bolívar
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 28 fixtures
- Defensores De Belgrano vs Racing Cordoba
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Atletico Mitre
- San Telmo vs Los Andes — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman
- Chacarita Juniors v Atlanta — match page
- Acassuso v All Boys — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Deportivo Moron — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 58.4% | 1.71 | +13.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 58.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 14.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.1% |
| No | 63.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 42.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.9% | |
| Loss | 31.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.9% |
| 2-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 9.9% |
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar stats
Deportivo Madryn and Ciudad de Bolívar recent form
| Deportivo Madryn |
LWWDWW |
| Ciudad de Bolívar |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Madryn and Ciudad de Bolívar going into this match
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
Ciudad de Bolívar record
- They have won 9 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
1Deportivo Madryn wins
0Draws
2Ciudad de Bolívar wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Ciudad de Bolívar | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-09-29 | Ciudad de Bolívar | Deportivo Madryn | Torneo Federal A | 1-0 |
| 2021-07-03 | Deportivo Madryn | Ciudad de Bolívar | Torneo Federal A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Madryn vs Ciudad de Bolívar odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 28.1%, away 17.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.67 | 3.20 | 5.30 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.25 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.30 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.25 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.65 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 3.35 | 5.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.65 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.36 | 5.81 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.02 | 4.76 |
| Unibet | 1.83 | 3.05 | 4.35 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▲ +0.02
X
3.23 ▼ -0.02
2
5.53 ▼ -0.07
12 snapshots recorded, from .