Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 29
Defensores De Belgrano
vs
Deportivo Madryn
2 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | A. Gutierrez | ||
| 32′ | I. Gutierrez | ||
| 34′ | E. Gonzalez | ||
| 37′ | Y. Bonnin | ||
| 37′ | N. Solis | ||
| 39′ | E. Gonzalez | ||
| 41′ | I. Perez | ||
| 50′ | L. Jerez Silva | ||
| 50′ | G. Gamarra | ||
| 50′ | E. Aguirre | ||
| 60′ | N. Solis | ||
| 63′ | J. CosiJ. Peinipil | ||
| 63′ | N. D. OrtizE. Montagna | ||
| 63′ | I. GutierrezN. Borsotti | ||
| 63′ | P. MoyanoL. Ciccolini | ||
| 66′ | B. Gomez | ||
| 74′ | L. DiarteA. Dionisio | ||
| 74′ | N. ServettoD. Martinez | ||
| 79′ | C. MachadoE. Jara | ||
| 82′ | L. LandrielM. Rodriguez | ||
| 82′ | E. AguirreD. Magallanes | ||
| 86′ | E. GonzalezJ. Ardaiz | ||
| 87′ | L. Silba |
Defensores De Belgrano
39%
Draw
33%
Deportivo Madryn
28%
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn
| Probability | Defensores De Belgrano | Draw | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.5% | 33.1% | 41.3% |
| Market | 43.5% | 32.4% | 24.1% |
| Final | 39.0% | 32.6% | 28.4% |
| Edge | -18.0% | +0.7% | +17.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
60%
3+ goals
32%
No goals
15%
Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn expected goals
Defensores De Belgrano
0.84
Deportivo Madryn
1.14
Total expected goals: 1.99
Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn attack and defence ratings
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Deportivo Madryn
Attack
1.63 +63%
Defence
0.87 -13%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn: result vs prediction
Defensores De Belgrano 2 – 1 Deportivo Madryn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 29 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez
- Atlanta vs Club Atlético Güemes — team news & stats
- Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago
- All Boys v San Telmo — match page
- Almagro vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Ciudad de Bolívar v Central Norte — match page
- Quilmes v San Martin S.J. — match page
- Los Andes vs San Miguel
Before and after this match
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 39.0% | 2.56 | -18.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Defensores De Belgrano | 39.0% |
| Draw | 32.6% | |
| Deportivo Madryn | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.1% |
| No | 59.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Defensores De Belgrano win | 8.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.8% | |
| Loss | 74.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.5% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn stats
Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn recent form
| Defensores De Belgrano |
DWLLDL |
| Deportivo Madryn |
WLWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Defensores De Belgrano and Deportivo Madryn going into this match
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 6 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 28 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 12 of their 28 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 28 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 28 matches.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
0Defensores De Belgrano wins
1Draws
3Deportivo Madryn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | Deportivo Madryn | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | Deportivo Madryn | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-15 | Defensores De Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 2-3 |
| 2022-03-05 | Defensores De Belgrano | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Defensores De Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.0%, draw 32.6%, away 24.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 2.77 | 3.84 |
| 888Sport | 2.40 | 2.63 | 3.30 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 2.88 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.15 | 2.90 | 3.75 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 2.82 | 3.80 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 2.88 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.38 | 2.80 | 3.35 |
| Marathonbet | 2.07 | 2.77 | 3.75 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 2.88 | 3.92 |
| SBO | 2.01 | 2.69 | 3.34 |
| Unibet | 2.05 | 2.95 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 2.75 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.10 ▼ -0.57
X
2.82 ▲ +0.10
2
3.80 ▲ +0.96
14 snapshots recorded, from .