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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 21

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes

1 – 1 Full time

30′F. Tisera
65′L. LandrielL. Ciccolini
69′A. V. ChamorroA. Gonzalez
75′I. PerezJ. Ardaiz
75′F. TiseraM. Galeano
81′S. OrtizB. Leizza
81′I. GranceG. D. Carrasco
81′E. AguirreF. Tcherkaski
81′I. GutierrezD. Garcia
90′L. Ciccolini
90′L. Ciccolini

Estadio Juan Pasquale, Belgrano

Defensores De Belgrano 44%
Draw 35%
Los Andes 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDefensores De BelgranoDrawLos Andes
Model41.1%40.8%18.1%
Market44.7%32.8%22.5%
Final43.8%34.8%21.4%
Edge-3.7%+8.1%-4.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Defensores De Belgrano

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.84 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Defensores De ↓ / Los Andes → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 28% 1 22% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 72%
2+ goals 39%
3+ goals 15%
No goals 28%

Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes expected goals

Defensores De Belgrano 0.84
Los Andes 0.47

Total expected goals: 1.31

Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes attack and defence ratings

Defensores De Belgrano

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Los Andes

Attack 0.68 -32%
Defence 0.92 -8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes: result vs prediction

Defensores De Belgrano 1 – 1 Los Andes

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Before and after this match

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Defensores De Belgrano 43.8% 2.28 -3.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 85.5% 1.17 — —
Both teams to score No 77.7% 1.29 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Defensores De Belgrano43.8%
Draw34.8%
Los Andes21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.514.5%
Under 2.585.5%
Both teams to scoreYes22.3%
No77.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)65.2%
X2 (draw or away)56.2%
Handicap -1Defensores De Belgrano win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)26.5%
Loss58.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-028.1%
1-021.7%
1-111.7%

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes stats

Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes recent form

newest first
Defensores De Belgrano WLLDLD
Los Andes DDLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Defensores De Belgrano and Los Andes going into this match

league record before kick-off

Defensores De Belgrano record

  • They have won 6 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 13 of 27 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Los Andes record

  • They have won 8 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 27 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 15 of 27 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Defensores De Belgrano wins 3Draws 2Los Andes wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-28Los AndesDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional0-1
2019-03-02Los AndesDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional1-1
2014-02-12Los AndesDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana1-2
2013-08-13Defensores De BelgranoLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2013-02-27Defensores De BelgranoLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana0-0
2012-09-11Los AndesDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana1-3
2012-03-25Los AndesDefensores De BelgranoPrimera B Metropolitana4-2
2011-10-08Defensores De BelgranoLos AndesPrimera B Metropolitana1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Defensores De Belgrano vs Los Andes odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.7%, draw 32.8%, away 22.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.95 2.80 4.20
1xBet 2.02 2.76 4.14
888Sport 2.10 2.75 4.00
Bet365 2.05 2.75 4.33
BetVictor 2.05 2.88 4.20
Betano 2.10 2.82 4.00
Betfair 1.95 2.80 4.00
Dafabet 2.10 2.85 4.10
Marathonbet 2.00 2.76 4.05
Pinnacle 2.07 2.92 4.42
SBO 1.98 2.70 3.66
Superbet 2.12 2.85 4.00
Unibet 1.88 2.95 4.30
William Hill 2.10 2.75 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.05 ▲ +0.26
X 2.80 ▼ -0.18
2 4.07 ▼ -0.79

8 snapshots recorded, from .