Deportivo Madryn
vs
Godoy Cruz
2 – 0 Full time
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz
| Probability | Deportivo Madryn | Draw | Godoy Cruz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.3% | 22.8% | 15.9% |
| Market | 44.5% | 31.2% | 24.3% |
| Final | 48.7% | 29.1% | 22.2% |
| Edge | +16.8% | -8.4% | -8.5% |
Why Deportivo Madryn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 0.94.
- The market prices Deportivo Madryn below the model: +16.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Madryn and Godoy Cruz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
Deportivo Madryn and Godoy Cruz attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Madryn
Godoy Cruz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz: result vs prediction
Deportivo Madryn 2 – 0 Godoy Cruz
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Before and after this match
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 48.7% | 2.05 | +16.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 48.7% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Godoy Cruz | 22.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 38.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 38.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.9% |
| 2-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.9% |
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz stats
Deportivo Madryn and Godoy Cruz recent form
| Deportivo Madryn |
WDWWDD |
| Godoy Cruz |
WLWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Madryn and Godoy Cruz going into this match
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 11 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 27 matches.
Godoy Cruz record
- They have won 12 of their 27 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 27 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 27 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Godoy Cruz | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Madryn vs Godoy Cruz odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.5%, draw 31.2%, away 24.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.15 | 2.85 | 3.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 2.82 | 4.30 |
| 888Sport | 2.20 | 2.75 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.10 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 2.12 | 2.95 | 3.70 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.00 | 3.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.12 | 2.95 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.98 | 2.79 | 4.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.03 | 2.93 | 4.60 |
| SBO | 2.05 | 2.74 | 3.36 |
| Superbet | 2.12 | 2.95 | 3.80 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.10 | 3.70 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 2.75 | 3.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .