Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 32
Ferro Carril Oeste
vs
Deportivo Madryn
0 – 2 Full time
| 41′ | N. Solis | ||
| 44′ | G. Canto | ||
| 54′ | J. CosiA. Dionisio | ||
| 57′ | A. Dionisio | ||
| 61′ | L. Marinucci | ||
| 62′ | G. Canto | ||
| 62′ | G. Canto | ||
| 65′ | N. RenieroM. Taron | ||
| 70′ | M. MeliJ. Peinipil | ||
| 70′ | L. MarinucciE. Montagna | ||
| 73′ | M. Taron | ||
| 74′ | A. GonzalezL. Marra | ||
| 74′ | E. DeningS. Garcia | ||
| 78′ | E. Montagna | ||
| 78′ | E. HoyosJ. Menendez | ||
| 78′ | M. KabalinG. Castellani | ||
| 84′ | L. Marra | ||
| 90′ | F. GiacopuzziA. Gutierrez | ||
| 90′ | L. SilbaD. Martinez | ||
| 90′ | J. Peinipil |
Ferro Carril Oeste
47%
Draw
30%
Deportivo Madryn
22%
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn
| Probability | Ferro Carril Oeste | Draw | Deportivo Madryn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.7% | 33.0% | 26.3% |
| Market | 49.7% | 29.6% | 20.7% |
| Final | 47.4% | 30.5% | 22.1% |
| Edge | -9.0% | +3.4% | +5.6% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
85%
2+ goals
61%
3+ goals
33%
No goals
15%
Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Madryn expected goals
Ferro Carril Oeste
1.14
Deportivo Madryn
0.87
Total expected goals: 2.01
Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Madryn attack and defence ratings
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Deportivo Madryn
Attack
1.49 +49%
Defence
0.85 -15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn: result vs prediction
Ferro Carril Oeste 0 – 2 Deportivo Madryn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 32 fixtures
- Colon Santa Fe vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Temperley vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Deportivo Moron v All Boys — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ciudad de Bolívar
- San Miguel vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
- Agropecuario vs Midland — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Patronato — match page
Before and after this match
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 47.4% | 2.11 | -9.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 47.4% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Deportivo Madryn | 22.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.8% |
| No | 59.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ferro Carril Oeste win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 59.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | 14.6% | |
| 1-0 | 14.0% |
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn stats
Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Madryn recent form
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
WWDDDW |
| Deportivo Madryn |
DWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste and Deportivo Madryn going into this match
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
2Ferro Carril Oeste wins
2Draws
2Deportivo Madryn wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Deportivo Madryn | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-16 | Deportivo Madryn | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-07-22 | Deportivo Madryn | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-17 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-18 | Deportivo Madryn | Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.7%, draw 29.6%, away 20.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 3.38 | 4.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.75 | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.85 | 3.13 | 4.50 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.10 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 3.28 | 5.36 |
| SBO | 1.85 | 2.88 | 3.82 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.88 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.85 ▼ -0.10
X
3.10 ▲ +0.10
2
4.44 ▲ +0.24
6 snapshots recorded, from .