Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Central Norte
vs
Ferro Carril Oeste
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | N. Reniero | ||
| 23′ | F. Vedoya | ||
| 32′ | J. OrellanaL. Pena Biafore | ||
| 70′ | E. DeningL. Parisi | ||
| 70′ | N. RenieroS. Garcia | ||
| 73′ | E. Calderon | ||
| 74′ | M. KabalinN. Gomez | ||
| 74′ | M. MoravecS. Quiroga | ||
| 74′ | E. HoyosG. Castellani | ||
| 83′ | M. RosalesT. Castro |
Central Norte
35%
Draw
40%
Ferro Carril Oeste
25%
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste
| Probability | Central Norte | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 40.2% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.9% | 40.2% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
74%
2+ goals
43%
3+ goals
17%
No goals
26%
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste expected goals
Central Norte
0.79
Ferro Carril Oeste
0.62
Total expected goals: 1.41
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste attack and defence ratings
Central Norte
Attack
0.72 -28%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: result vs prediction
Central Norte 1 – 1 Ferro Carril Oeste
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Quilmes vs Agropecuario — team news & stats
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 34.9% |
| Draw | 40.2% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.6% |
| No | 73.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 59.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Central Norte win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.5% |
| 1-0 | 18.0% | |
| 0-1 | 13.9% |
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste stats
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste recent form
| Central Norte |
DDLDDD |
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
LWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste going into this match
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 32 matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 18 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0Central Norte wins
0Draws
1Ferro Carril Oeste wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.