Central Norte
vs
Ferro Carril Oeste
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 – 0 Predicted score · 25% model probability
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste
| Probability | Central Norte | Draw | Ferro Carril Oeste |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.9% | 40.2% | 24.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.9% | 40.2% | 24.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste match preview
Central Norte faces Ferro Carril Oeste in their upcoming Primera Nacional match, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with Central Norte holding a 35% chance of victory, while a draw is estimated at 40%, and Ferro Carril Oeste at 25%. The expected goals for Central Norte stand at 0.79, compared to Ferro Carril Oeste's 0.62, indicating a potentially low-scoring match.
In terms of recent form, Central Norte has struggled, recording three draws and two losses in their last six matches, while Ferro Carril Oeste has shown some resilience with two wins, two draws, and a loss in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted is a 0-0 draw, with both teams to score at 27% and over 2.5 goals at just 17%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.42
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste attack and defence ratings
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
Before and after this match
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 40.2% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Central Norte | 34.9% |
| Draw | 40.2% | |
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 24.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 17.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 83.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.6% |
| No | 73.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 59.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Central Norte win | 11.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 65.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 25.5% |
| 1-0 | 18.0% | |
| 0-1 | 14.0% |
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste stats
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste recent form
| Central Norte |
DDLDDD |
| Ferro Carril Oeste |
LWWDDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste season so far
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 31 matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste record
- They have won 18 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Ferro Carril Oeste | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.