Chaco For Ever
vs
Central Norte
Garuda Lions Prediction: Chaco For Ever
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 21% model probability
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.6% | 31.3% | 12.2% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 56.6% | 31.3% | 12.2% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Chaco For Ever
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte match preview
Chaco For Ever is favored to win against Central Norte with a 56% probability, while a draw stands at 31% and Central Norte at 12%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Chaco For Ever, with a 21% chance. The expected goals for Chaco For Ever is 1.29, compared to just 0.46 for Central Norte, indicating a significant offensive advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Chaco For Ever has recorded three wins, two draws, and one loss in their last six matches. Conversely, Central Norte has struggled, with six consecutive matches resulting in three draws and three losses. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Chaco For Ever has secured two wins and one draw, further highlighting their dominance in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Central Norte
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 56.6% | 1.77 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% | 1.14 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.4% | 2.30 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 56.6% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Central Norte | 12.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.7% | |
| Loss | 43.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.3% |
| 0-0 | 18.3% | |
| 2-0 | 14.5% |
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte stats
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte recent form
| WDLWDW | |
| DDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte season so far
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-03 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-07 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-09 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 2-1 |
| 2019-10-25 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A | 1-1 |
| 2014-04-27 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.