Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Chaco For Ever
vs
Central Norte
1 – 2 Full time
| 11′ | D. Valdez | ||
| 25′ | D. ValdezL. Mihovilcevich | ||
| 29′ | E. Gaggi | ||
| 36′ | L. Felissia | ||
| 40′ | E. Calderon | ||
| 45′ | L. Fernandez | ||
| 52′ | B. NievasM. Diaz Chaves | ||
| 53′ | J. Carrizo | ||
| 59′ | A. Lamosa | ||
| 61′ | M. MoravecS. Quiroga | ||
| 72′ | E. GaggiM. Tevez | ||
| 72′ | E. PachecoA. Lioi | ||
| 73′ | G. MancusoT. Castro | ||
| 73′ | F. VedoyaE. Bodencer | ||
| 75′ | A. Luque | ||
| 81′ | E. Bodencer | ||
| 85′ | M. VillarrealK. Isa Luna | ||
| 85′ | M. RosalesJ. Mateo | ||
| 89′ | J. Mateo |
Chaco For Ever
48%
Draw
33%
Central Norte
19%
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte
| Probability | Chaco For Ever | Draw | Central Norte |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.4% | 31.3% | 12.2% |
| Market | 45.2% | 33.3% | 21.5% |
| Final | 48.0% | 32.8% | 19.2% |
| Edge | +2.8% | -0.5% | -2.3% |
Why Chaco For Ever
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.29 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Chaco For Ever below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
82%
2+ goals
53%
3+ goals
26%
No goals
18%
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte expected goals
Chaco For Ever
1.29
Central Norte
0.46
Total expected goals: 1.76
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte attack and defence ratings
Chaco For Ever
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
0.86 -14%
Central Norte
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
0.89 -11%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte: result vs prediction
Chaco For Ever 1 – 2 Central Norte
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes — team news & stats
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 48.0% | 2.08 | +2.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Chaco For Ever | 48.0% |
| Draw | 32.8% | |
| Central Norte | 19.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.9% |
| No | 72.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Chaco For Ever win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.7% | |
| Loss | 43.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.3% |
| 0-0 | 18.3% | |
| 2-0 | 14.4% |
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte stats
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte recent form
| Chaco For Ever |
WDLWDW |
| Central Norte |
DDDLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Chaco For Ever and Central Norte going into this match
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Central Norte record
- They have won 6 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 33 matches.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
2Chaco For Ever wins
4Draws
3Central Norte wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-28 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Friendlies Clubs | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-03 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2021-10-03 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 2-0 |
| 2021-07-07 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A | 2-2 |
| 2020-12-09 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 2-1 |
| 2019-10-25 | Chaco For Ever | Central Norte | Torneo Federal A | 1-1 |
| 2014-04-27 | Central Norte | Chaco For Ever | Torneo Federal A | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Chaco For Ever vs Central Norte odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.2%, draw 33.3%, away 21.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.93 | 2.76 | 4.43 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 2.80 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 2.88 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.91 | 2.76 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 2.90 | 4.45 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 2.75 | 4.20 |