Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 34
Atletico DE Rafaela
vs
Quilmes
1 – 0 Full time
| 2′ | M. Moreno | ||
| 40′ | J. Novillo | ||
| 45′ | A. Ortega | ||
| 51′ | A. Solveyra | ||
| 54′ | A. OrtegaG. Vazquez | ||
| 58′ | A. Obando | ||
| 62′ | L. AlbertengoL. Flores | ||
| 64′ | J. Aimale | ||
| 68′ | M. Moreno | ||
| 69′ | E. PepinoJ. Capurro | ||
| 70′ | A. ObandoR. Ramirez | ||
| 70′ | F. Soloa | ||
| 72′ | J. NovilloN. Colazo | ||
| 72′ | J. AimaleR. Martinez | ||
| 75′ | N. Colazo | ||
| 81′ | R. Martinez | ||
| 84′ | F. YozwiakM. Fernandez | ||
| 90′ | E. WuattierA. Rodriguez |
Atletico DE Rafaela
38%
Draw
32%
Quilmes
30%
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes
| Probability | Atletico DE Rafaela | Draw | Quilmes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.7% | 32.2% | 31.2% |
| Market | 38.0% | 32.4% | 29.6% |
| Final | 37.7% | 32.4% | 30.0% |
| Edge | -0.3% | -0.1% | +0.4% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes expected goals
Atletico DE Rafaela
1.13
Quilmes
1.02
Total expected goals: 2.15
Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes attack and defence ratings
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
1.04 +4%
Defence
1.66 +66%
Quilmes
Attack
0.86 -14%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes: result vs prediction
Atletico DE Rafaela 1 – 0 Quilmes
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta — team news & stats
- Chacarita Juniors v Deportivo Maipu — match page
- Agropecuario v Colegiales — match page
- Acassuso vs Deportivo Madryn
- San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — team news & stats
- Tristan Suarez vs Patronato — team news & stats
- Colon Santa Fe vs Almirante Brown — team news & stats
- Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
Before and after this match
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 37.7% | 2.66 | -0.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 37.7% |
| Draw | 32.4% | |
| Quilmes | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.6% |
| No | 55.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico DE Rafaela win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 63.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.0% | |
| 1-0 | 11.8% |
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes stats
Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes recent form
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
LLLWLL |
| Quilmes |
LDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico DE Rafaela and Quilmes going into this match
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 11 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Quilmes record
- They have won 10 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Atletico DE Rafaela wins
4Draws
3Quilmes wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Quilmes | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2023-07-29 | Quilmes | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2023-03-26 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2021-01-24 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2020-03-02 | Quilmes | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2019-09-10 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2018-08-27 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2018-04-17 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2017-06-17 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Quilmes | Liga Profesional Argentina | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Quilmes odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 31.9%, away 29.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.38 | 2.79 | 3.05 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 2.88 | 3.20 |
| BetVictor | 2.45 | 2.90 | 3.13 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 2.90 | 3.10 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.42 | 2.95 | 3.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 2.79 | 2.97 |
| Pinnacle | 2.45 | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| SBO | 2.27 | 2.71 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.40 | 2.80 | 3.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.42 ▼ -0.12
X
2.84 ▲ +0.08
2
3.12 ▲ +0.29
10 snapshots recorded, from .