Gimnasia Y Tiro
vs
Atlanta
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gimnasia Y Tiro
1 – 0 Predicted score · 18% model probability
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta
| Probability | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 32.2% | 17.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 32.2% | 17.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Gimnasia Y Tiro
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.62.
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta match preview
Gimnasia Y Tiro faces Atlanta in a Primera Nacional clash, with our model giving Gimnasia Y Tiro a 51% chance of winning, while Atlanta sits at 17%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Gimnasia Y Tiro, occurring with an 18% probability. Expected goals suggest Gimnasia Y Tiro will score 1.25, compared to Atlanta's 0.62.
In terms of recent form, Gimnasia Y Tiro has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Atlanta has been in relatively better form, achieving four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. The head-to-head record shows Gimnasia Y Tiro has not won in their last three encounters with Atlanta, resulting in two draws and one win for Atlanta.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.87
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Atlanta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 50.8% |
| Draw | 32.2% | |
| Atlanta | 17.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.0% |
| No | 66.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Y Tiro win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.6% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.2% |
| 0-0 | 16.6% | |
| 1-1 | 13.1% |
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta stats
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta recent form
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
LWLDWW |
| Atlanta |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta season so far
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta record
- They have won 16 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | Atlanta | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Atlanta | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-24 | Atlanta | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.