Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 34

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta

3 – 1 Full time

15′F. Rojas
29′B. Rivero
36′R. Sosa
39′M. Guanini
61′F. Sivetti
62′J. C. OviedoA. Tallura
62′N. ContinL. Gordillo
62′R. VillarrealJ. Aguirre
66′T. Rojas
68′F. RomeroJ. Puch
68′R. SosaD. Arguello
74′J. RoccaJ. Capano
74′T. BanegaI. F. Chaves
76′T. Rojas
76′T. Rojas
77′B. RiveroF. Caceres
77′J. Capano
87′M. GarciaG. Miranda
90′J. Capano
90′G. Diaz
90′D. Arguello

Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta

Gimnasia Y Tiro 43%
Draw 33%
Atlanta 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia Y TiroDrawAtlanta
Model47.0%32.1%20.9%
Market41.1%33.6%25.2%
Final42.6%33.3%24.1%
Edge+1.5%-0.4%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gimnasia Y Tiro

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.75.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia Y Tir ↓ / Atlanta → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 9% 1 16% 14% 2 11% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta expected goals

Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.25
Atlanta 0.75

Total expected goals: 2.00

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Atlanta

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta: result vs prediction

Gimnasia Y Tiro 3 – 1 Atlanta

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia Y Tiro 42.6% 2.35 +1.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score No 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.0% 1.89 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia Y Tiro42.6%
Draw33.3%
Atlanta24.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.3%
Under 2.567.7%
Both teams to scoreYes38.8%
No61.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.9%
12 (either side)66.7%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Gimnasia Y Tiro win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.0%
Loss53.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.7%
0-014.8%
1-113.9%

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta stats

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta recent form

newest first
Gimnasia Y Tiro DLWLDW
Atlanta WWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia Y Tiro and Atlanta going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia Y Tiro record

  • They have won 13 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlanta record

  • They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

1Gimnasia Y Tiro wins 3Draws 1Atlanta wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31AtlantaGimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional1-1
2025-09-27Gimnasia Y TiroAtlantaPrimera Nacional2-2
2025-05-24AtlantaGimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-07-28Gimnasia Y TiroAtlantaPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-03-12AtlantaGimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Atlanta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.5%, draw 33.2%, away 25.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 2.72 3.66
Bet365 2.25 2.80 3.60
BetVictor 2.20 2.88 3.70
Betano 2.22 2.80 3.65
Betfair 2.10 2.80 3.60
Dafabet 2.23 2.85 3.70
Marathonbet 2.13 2.72 3.55
Pinnacle 2.28 2.72 4.01
SBO 2.06 2.64 3.24
William Hill 2.25 2.62 3.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.23 —
X 2.72 ▼ -0.08
2 3.63 ▲ +0.03

10 snapshots recorded, from .