Midland
vs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3 – 0 Full time
| 33′ | G. Soto | ||
| 35′ | M. Roseti | ||
| 46′ | R. VillarrealJ. Aguirre | ||
| 46′ | J. RoccaM. Birge | ||
| 48′ | M. Flores | ||
| 67′ | M. FloresM. Frattini | ||
| 67′ | J. CapanoW. Montoya | ||
| 67′ | T. BanegaN. Contin | ||
| 73′ | D. BulacioR. Cao | ||
| 73′ | I. AndradaL. Diaz Laharque | ||
| 80′ | N. RinaldiP. A. Rodriguez | ||
| 87′ | F. Rojas | ||
| 88′ | J. PeralesJ. Camano | ||
| 88′ | M. LeguizaL. Escobar |
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Probability | Midland | Draw | Gimnasia Y Tiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.7% | 28.1% | 25.3% |
| Market | 53.2% | 28.3% | 18.4% |
| Final | 51.6% | 28.3% | 20.1% |
| Edge | -1.6% | -0.1% | +1.7% |
Why Midland
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 1.07.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings
Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: result vs prediction
Midland 3 – 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 51.6% | 1.94 | -1.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Midland | 51.6% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 20.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Midland win | 24.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 53.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats
Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form
| Midland |
LWDLWW |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
WDLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro going into this match
Midland record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Midland | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.8%, draw 28.8%, away 18.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.74 | 3.06 | 4.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.40 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.25 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.30 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.25 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.68 | 3.12 | 4.95 |
| Pinnacle | 1.71 | 3.29 | 5.97 |
| SBO | 1.88 | 2.65 | 3.83 |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 3.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .