Garuda Lions
Today
Primera Nacional · ·Matchday 35

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ciudad de Bolívar

1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bet on Ciudad de Bolívar

Estadio Municipal Eva Peron, Bolivar

Ciudad de Bolívar 38%
Draw 35%
Colon Santa Fe 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Ciudad de Bolívar wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
82%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
36%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCiudad de BolívarDrawColon Santa Fe
Model38.3%35.1%26.6%
Market———
Final38.3%35.1%26.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Ciudad de Bolívar

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.71, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.8% per unit staked (our 38.3% × 2.71 − 1).

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe match preview

Ciudad de Bolívar faces Colon Santa Fe in an intriguing Primera Nacional matchup. According to our model, Ciudad de Bolívar has a 38% chance of winning, while a draw is rated at 35% and Colon Santa Fe at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ciudad de Bolívar, with an expected goals tally of 1.02 for them and 0.80 for Colon Santa Fe.

Recent form shows Ciudad de Bolívar with four wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches, while Colon Santa Fe has two wins, three draws, and one loss. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 27%, and both teams scoring stands at 36%. In their last head-to-head encounter, there have been no wins for either team, with one draw recorded.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ciudad de Bolí ↓ / Colon Santa Fe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 12% 1 15% 15% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

Ciudad de Bolívar and Colon Santa Fe expected goals

Ciudad de Bolívar 1.01
Colon Santa Fe 0.80

Total expected goals: 1.81

Ciudad de Bolívar and Colon Santa Fe attack and defence ratings

Ciudad de Bolívar

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ciudad de Bolívar 38.3% 2.61 — 2.71
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.7% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.7% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ciudad de Bolívar38.3%
Draw35.1%
Colon Santa Fe26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.3%
Under 2.572.7%
Both teams to scoreYes36.4%
No63.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)64.9%
X2 (draw or away)61.7%
Handicap -1Ciudad de Bolívar win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss61.7%
Correct score (top 3)0-017.7%
1-015.2%
1-114.5%
Compare prices for this pick

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe stats

Ciudad de Bolívar and Colon Santa Fe recent form

newest first
Ciudad de Bolívar WWWWLD
Colon Santa Fe DDWDWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ciudad de Bolívar and Colon Santa Fe season so far

league record

Ciudad de Bolívar record

  • They have won 13 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

0Ciudad de Bolívar wins 1Draws 0Colon Santa Fe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-07Colon Santa FeCiudad de BolívarPrimera Nacional0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.1%, draw 34.1%, away 31.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.60 2.62 2.84
Bet365 2.70 2.80 2.90
Betano 2.70 2.75 2.90
Betfair 2.63 2.70 2.88
Dafabet 2.70 2.80 2.95
Marathonbet 2.60 2.62 2.84
Pinnacle 2.71 2.80 2.95
SBO 2.46 2.60 2.62
William Hill 2.70 2.62 2.90
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.70 ▲ +0.03
X 2.73 ▲ +0.10
2 2.90 ▲ +0.06

10 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 Ciudad de Bolívar Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now