Colon Santa Fe
vs
Defensores De Belgrano
Garuda Lions Prediction: Colon Santa Fe
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.51.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano
| Probability | Colon Santa Fe | Draw | Defensores De Belgrano |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 27.8% | 11.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.0% | 27.8% | 11.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Colon Santa Fe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.50 vs 0.51.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano match preview
Colon Santa Fe enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 61%, while Defensores De Belgrano stands at 11%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 19% probability. Expected goals suggest Colon Santa Fe will score 1.50, compared to Defensores De Belgrano's 0.51. Recent form shows Colon Santa Fe with three wins and two draws in their last six matches, while Defensores De Belgrano has two wins, two losses, and two draws.
In their last three head-to-head encounters, Colon Santa Fe has secured one win, while Defensores De Belgrano has won twice. The model indicates a 33% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 32% chance for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.01
Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano attack and defence ratings
Colon Santa Fe
Defensores De Belgrano
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colon Santa Fe | 61.0% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| Defensores De Belgrano | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.9% |
| No | 68.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colon Santa Fe win | 33.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.8% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.2% |
| 2-0 | 15.2% | |
| 0-0 | 14.4% |
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano stats
Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano recent form
| Colon Santa Fe |
WDDWDW |
| Defensores De Belgrano |
DLDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano season so far
Colon Santa Fe record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 15 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Defensores De Belgrano record
- They have won 8 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Defensores De Belgrano | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-01 | Defensores De Belgrano | Colon Santa Fe | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-27 | Colon Santa Fe | Defensores De Belgrano | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.