Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 36

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano

2 – 0 Full time

49′E. Gonzalez
59′E. BeltranJ. Buosi
66′L. LandrielF. Tcherkaski
67′E. GonzalezP. Moyano
71′I. Lago
74′J. MarcioniC. Ibarra
79′A. BenitezA. I. Acosta D.
80′J. Buosi
82′F. LertoraM. Munoz
82′A. ToledoI. Antonio
86′L. RodriguezN. Borsotti
86′J. ArdaizL. Ciccolini
Colon Santa Fe 58%
Draw 28%
Defensores De Belgrano 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityColon Santa FeDrawDefensores De Belgrano
Model57.9%30.2%11.8%
Market58.3%27.7%14.0%
Final58.2%28.3%13.5%
Edge-0.1%+0.6%-0.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Colon Santa Fe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.47.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Colon Santa Fe ↓ / Defensores De → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 17% 1 21% 11% 2 15% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 83%
2+ goals 56%
3+ goals 28%
No goals 17%

Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano expected goals

Colon Santa Fe 1.36
Defensores De Belgrano 0.47

Total expected goals: 1.83

Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano attack and defence ratings

Colon Santa Fe

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Defensores De Belgrano

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano: result vs prediction

Colon Santa Fe 2 – 0 Defensores De Belgrano

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 36 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Colon Santa Fe 58.2% 1.72 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 72.4% 1.38 — —
Both teams to score No 71.1% 1.41 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 86.5% 1.16 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.0% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Colon Santa Fe58.2%
Draw28.3%
Defensores De Belgrano13.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.527.6%
Under 2.572.4%
Both teams to scoreYes28.9%
No71.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)86.5%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)41.8%
Handicap -1Colon Santa Fe win29.5%
Push (exactly one goal)28.5%
Loss42.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-020.8%
0-017.1%
2-014.8%

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano stats

Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Colon Santa Fe and Defensores De Belgrano going into this match

league record before kick-off

Colon Santa Fe record

  • They have won 15 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.9 on the road.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 35 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Defensores De Belgrano record

  • They have won 8 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 14 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 35 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Colon Santa Fe wins 0Draws 3Defensores De Belgrano wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13Defensores De BelgranoColon Santa FePrimera Nacional0-3
2025-09-01Defensores De BelgranoColon Santa FePrimera Nacional1-0
2025-04-27Colon Santa FeDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional0-1
2024-09-28Colon Santa FeDefensores De BelgranoPrimera Nacional2-0
2024-05-14Defensores De BelgranoColon Santa FePrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 58.3%, draw 27.7%, away 14.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 3.48 6.91
Bet365 1.55 3.30 6.50
BetVictor 1.57 3.40 7.00
Betano 1.47 3.50 8.75
Betfair 1.55 3.30 6.00
Dafabet 1.69 3.25 6.00
Marathonbet 1.56 3.18 6.15
Pinnacle 1.60 3.33 6.67
SBO 1.62 2.88 4.84
William Hill 1.60 3.25 6.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.56 ▼ -0.11
X 3.30 ▲ +0.20
2 6.50 ▲ +0.87

4 snapshots recorded, from .