San Martin S.J.
vs
Gimnasia Jujuy
Garuda Lions Prediction: San Martin S.J.
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
| Probability | San Martin S.J. | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48.8% | 26.8% | 24.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 48.8% | 26.8% | 24.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why San Martin S.J.
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.64 vs 1.10.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy match preview
San Martin S.J. faces Gimnasia Jujuy in a Primera Nacional match with a kickoff scheduled for October 31, 2026. According to our model, San Martin S.J. has a 49% chance of winning, while a draw is estimated at 27% and Gimnasia Jujuy at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of San Martin S.J., with an expected goals tally of 1.64 for them and 1.10 for Gimnasia Jujuy.
Recent form shows San Martin S.J. with two draws, followed by a loss, another loss, and a win, while Gimnasia Jujuy has recorded two draws, a loss, another draw, and two wins. In their last two encounters, San Martin S.J. has not secured a win, with one draw and one loss against Gimnasia Jujuy. The model indicates a 52% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings
San Martin S.J.
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 48.8% | 2.05 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | San Martin S.J. | 48.8% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 24.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.0% |
| No | 45.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | San Martin S.J. win | 26.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.4% |
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form
| San Martin S.J. |
DDLLWD |
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
WDLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy season so far
San Martin S.J. record
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Gimnasia Jujuy | San Martin S.J. | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2025-03-26 | San Martin S.J. | Gimnasia Jujuy | Copa Argentina | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.