Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 36

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy

5 – 1 Full time

10′M. Osores
13′F. Nadalin
22′A. Arganaraz
32′L. Ferreyra
39′D. Lopez
42′G. Acosta
46′S. JaurenaR. Rumbolo
46′L. FerreyraG. Rossi
46′R. Rumbolo
51′N. Funez
52′E. ZambranoJ. Franzoni
61′L. MonjeN. Pelaitay
61′N. IachettiL. Acosta
63′C. PomboV. Arro
63′A. AlonsoF. Paradela
75′G. AcostaS. Gonzalez
77′R. Rumbolo
78′C. MenendezN. Denis
San Martin S.J. 58%
Draw 25%
Gimnasia Jujuy 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin S.J.DrawGimnasia Jujuy
Model52.0%26.1%22.0%
Market59.6%25.0%15.5%
Final57.7%25.2%17.1%
Edge-1.9%+0.3%+1.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why San Martin S.J.

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.72 vs 1.05.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin S.J ↓ / Gimnasia Jujuy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 10% 12% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 7%

San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals

San Martin S.J. 1.72
Gimnasia Jujuy 1.05

Total expected goals: 2.78

San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Gimnasia Jujuy

Attack 1.34 +34%
Defence 1.41 +41%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy: result vs prediction

San Martin S.J. 5 – 1 Gimnasia Jujuy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 36 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin S.J. 57.7% 1.73 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 52.5% 1.91 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.6% 1.83 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.9% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.0% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin S.J.57.7%
Draw25.2%
Gimnasia Jujuy17.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.552.5%
Under 2.547.5%
Both teams to scoreYes54.6%
No45.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.9%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)42.3%
Handicap -1San Martin S.J. win29.2%
Push (exactly one goal)22.8%
Loss48.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.4%
2-19.7%
1-09.6%

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats

San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin S.J. and Gimnasia Jujuy going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 12 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 35 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Gimnasia Jujuy record

  • They have won 16 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 35 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 35 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3San Martin S.J. wins 3Draws 4Gimnasia Jujuy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-13Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional2-1
2025-03-26San Martin S.J.Gimnasia JujuyCopa Argentina0-0
2024-07-07Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional1-0
2024-02-18San Martin S.J.Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional2-1
2022-03-27San Martin S.J.Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional3-0
2021-10-24Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional1-0
2021-06-29San Martin S.J.Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional2-2
2014-10-26San Martin S.J.Gimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional2-0
2014-08-30Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional1-0
2014-04-20Gimnasia JujuySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 59.6%, draw 25.0%, away 15.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.50 3.62 6.13
Bet365 1.53 3.75 6.50
BetVictor 1.53 3.70 6.50
Betano 1.55 3.65 6.20
Betfair 1.50 3.75 5.50
Dafabet 1.55 3.85 6.00
Marathonbet 1.49 3.62 5.85
Pinnacle 1.57 3.80 5.76
SBO 1.58 3.21 4.45
William Hill 1.57 3.60 5.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.54 ▼ -0.03
X 3.67 ▲ +0.05
2 5.92 ▲ +0.75

8 snapshots recorded, from .