Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.

1 – 1 Full time

46′L. JachfeF. Masuero
47′N. Funez
56′T. OcampoS. Cocimano
64′M. Perez
64′F. CoronelN. Iachetti
64′D. A. Mercado CarrizoS. Gonzalez
69′N. Iachetti
70′D. BarrosE. Cardozo
74′L. Monje
77′L. MonjeN. Pelaitay
77′G. RossiR. Nieva
80′L. AmbrogioN. Petrecca
80′E. RoldanA. Ruiz
89′S. JaurenaL. Acosta

Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires

Nueva Chicago 35%
Draw 34%
San Martin S.J. 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNueva ChicagoDrawSan Martin S.J.
Model29.5%37.6%32.9%
Market36.4%33.4%30.2%
Final34.6%34.5%30.9%
Edge-1.7%+1.0%+0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nueva Chicago ↓ / San Martin S.J → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 15% 1 14% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 50%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. expected goals

Nueva Chicago 0.78
San Martin S.J. 0.84

Total expected goals: 1.63

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. attack and defence ratings

Nueva Chicago

Attack 0.61 -39%
Defence 1.09 +9%

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J.: result vs prediction

Nueva Chicago 1 – 1 San Martin S.J.

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nueva Chicago 34.6% 2.89 -1.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score No 67.8% 1.48 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.1% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 70.5% 1.42 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nueva Chicago34.6%
Draw34.5%
San Martin S.J.30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.4%
Under 2.577.6%
Both teams to scoreYes32.2%
No67.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)65.5%
X2 (draw or away)65.4%
Handicap -1Nueva Chicago win9.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.8%
Loss70.5%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.0%
0-115.3%
1-114.3%

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. stats

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nueva Chicago record

  • They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 18 of 34 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

1Nueva Chicago wins 3Draws 5San Martin S.J. wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-26San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-12-01San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0
2024-11-24Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional2-1
2023-08-16Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional0-0
2023-04-06San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional0-0
2022-05-21San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional3-1
2020-11-29San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0
2019-11-16San Martin S.J.Nueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0
2015-07-27Nueva ChicagoSan Martin S.J.Liga Profesional Argentina0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.4%, draw 33.4%, away 30.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.51 2.68 2.99
Bet365 2.10 2.90 3.75
BetVictor 2.38 2.88 3.30
Betano 2.62 2.72 3.05
Betfair 2.63 2.75 2.75
Dafabet 2.43 2.90 3.20
Marathonbet 2.49 2.68 2.91
Pinnacle 2.61 2.90 3.11
SBO 2.52 2.59 2.56
William Hill 2.60 2.62 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.51 ▼ -0.19
X 2.74 ▲ +0.01
2 3.02 ▲ +0.23

5 snapshots recorded, from .