Primera Nacional · ·Matchday 34

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley

Garuda Lions Prediction: San Martin S.J.

1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability

San Martin S.J. 41%
Draw 32%
Temperley 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance San Martin S.J. wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
47%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
10% of simulated outcomes

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin S.J. vs Temperley

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin S.J.DrawTemperley
Model31.7%31.4%36.8%
Market44.4%32.5%23.1%
Final41.2%32.2%26.6%
Edge-12.6%-1.1%+13.7%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley match preview

San Martin S.J. faces Temperley in the Primera Nacional with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, San Martin S.J. has a 42% chance of winning, while Temperley stands at 27%, and the probability of a draw is 32%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of San Martin S.J., with an expected goals tally of 1.07 for them and 1.17 for Temperley.

In terms of recent form, San Martin S.J. has recorded two draws and three losses in their last six matches, while Temperley has been more successful, winning four of their last six games. The last head-to-head encounter saw Temperley secure a victory over San Martin S.J., who are yet to win against them. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin S.J ↓ / Temperley → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

San Martin S.J. and Temperley expected goals

San Martin S.J. 1.07
Temperley 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.24

San Martin S.J. and Temperley attack and defence ratings

San Martin S.J.

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Temperley

Attack 1.50 +50%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin S.J. 41.2% 2.43 -12.6% 2.12
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.4% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.3% 1.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin S.J.41.2%
Draw32.2%
Temperley26.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.9%
Under 2.561.1%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)67.8%
X2 (draw or away)58.8%
Handicap -1San Martin S.J. win12.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss68.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.0%
0-111.1%

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley stats

San Martin S.J. and Temperley recent form

newest first
San Martin S.J. DLLWDL
Temperley WWLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin S.J. and Temperley season so far

league record

San Martin S.J. record

  • They have won 12 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Temperley record

  • They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4San Martin S.J. wins 0Draws 4Temperley wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-31TemperleySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional2-1
2023-08-25TemperleySan Martin S.J.Primera Nacional0-1
2023-04-16San Martin S.J.TemperleyPrimera Nacional3-1
2022-04-09San Martin S.J.TemperleyPrimera Nacional4-1
2019-09-29San Martin S.J.TemperleyPrimera Nacional1-2
2017-11-28TemperleySan Martin S.J.Liga Profesional Argentina1-0
2017-06-16San Martin S.J.TemperleyLiga Profesional Argentina0-1
2015-05-05TemperleySan Martin S.J.Liga Profesional Argentina0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin S.J. vs Temperley odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.6%, draw 32.0%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.01 2.81 3.96
Bet365 2.05 2.90 4.00
BetVictor 2.10 2.90 3.90
Betano 2.07 2.92 3.90
Betfair 2.05 2.88 3.75
Dafabet 2.06 2.95 3.95
Marathonbet 1.99 2.81 3.84
Pinnacle 2.12 2.85 4.11
SBO 1.97 2.70 3.42
William Hill 2.10 2.75 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▲ +0.04
X 2.83 ▼ -0.07
2 3.98 ▲ +0.05

8 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 San Martin S.J. Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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