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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago

2 – 1 Full time

8′M. Echeverria
11′R. E. Zalazar
26′L. Ambrogio
53′Nueva Chicago
55′L. AmbrogioS. Cocimano
56′L. Nieto
58′E. Roldan
59′L. Nieto
65′M. RogoskiE. Cardozo
65′A. RuizD. Barros
69′A. ArreguiL. Richarte
69′L. NietoP. Souto
73′M. EcheverriaF. Kruger
76′D. ArroyoJ. Sardinas
76′E. MendezG. Trindade
83′G. HaucheF. Brandan
83′F. BenitezD. Trebotic
87′D. Barros
87′D. Barros
90′L. Richarte
90′L. Richarte

Estadio Alfredo Beranger, Turdera

Temperley 55%
Draw 29%
Nueva Chicago 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Temperley vs Nueva Chicago

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTemperleyDrawNueva Chicago
Model67.6%25.0%7.4%
Market51.2%30.0%18.8%
Final55.3%28.7%16.0%
Edge+4.1%-1.2%-2.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Temperley

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 0.37.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Temperley below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Temperley ↓ / Nueva Chicago → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 1 21% 2 18% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Temperley and Nueva Chicago expected goals

Temperley 1.61
Nueva Chicago 0.37

Total expected goals: 1.98

Temperley and Nueva Chicago attack and defence ratings

Temperley

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Nueva Chicago

Attack 0.64 -36%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago: result vs prediction

Temperley 2 – 1 Nueva Chicago

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Temperley 55.3% 1.81 +4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 74.2% 1.35 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.0% 1.19 — —
Handicap -1 Temperley win 38.8% 2.58 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Temperley55.3%
Draw28.7%
Nueva Chicago16.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.9%
Under 2.568.1%
Both teams to scoreYes25.8%
No74.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.0%
12 (either side)71.3%
X2 (draw or away)44.7%
Handicap -1Temperley win38.8%
Push (exactly one goal)28.7%
Loss32.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-021.3%
2-017.8%
0-014.6%

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago stats

Temperley and Nueva Chicago recent form

newest first
Temperley WLWDWW
Nueva Chicago LWDLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Temperley and Nueva Chicago going into this match

league record before kick-off

Temperley record

  • They have won 15 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 13 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 2 of 4 penalties (50%).
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nueva Chicago record

  • They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 32 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Temperley wins 5Draws 1Nueva Chicago wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-23Nueva ChicagoTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-1
2025-10-05TemperleyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional3-0
2025-06-02Nueva ChicagoTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-1
2024-10-20TemperleyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional0-0
2024-06-01Nueva ChicagoTemperleyPrimera Nacional1-0
2023-07-01Nueva ChicagoTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-0
2023-02-25TemperleyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0
2022-08-06TemperleyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional2-2
2021-10-05Nueva ChicagoTemperleyPrimera Nacional0-0
2021-06-11TemperleyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Temperley vs Nueva Chicago odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.2%, draw 30.0%, away 18.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.77 2.98 4.88
Bet365 1.85 3.10 4.75
BetVictor 1.80 3.10 5.00
Betano 1.80 3.05 5.00
Betfair 1.73 3.10 4.75
Dafabet 1.82 3.15 4.90
Marathonbet 1.75 2.98 4.75
Pinnacle 1.82 3.13 5.41
SBO 1.69 2.93 4.64
William Hill 1.80 3.00 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▲ +0.05
X 3.08 ▼ -0.02
2 4.89 ▼ -0.11

12 snapshots recorded, from .