Nueva Chicago
vs
Gimnasia Jujuy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nueva Chicago
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy
| Probability | Nueva Chicago | Draw | Gimnasia Jujuy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.6% | 31.5% | 33.9% |
| Market | 41.5% | 31.4% | 27.1% |
| Final | 39.7% | 31.4% | 28.8% |
| Edge | -6.8% | +0.1% | +6.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy match preview
Nueva Chicago faces Gimnasia Jujuy in a Primera Nacional clash with both teams showing mixed recent form. Nueva Chicago's last five matches include two wins and three losses, while Gimnasia Jujuy has recorded two wins, three draws, and one loss. The probabilities indicate a slight edge for Nueva Chicago at 39%, with a 31% chance of a draw and a 30% chance for Gimnasia Jujuy.
The expected goals are closely matched, with Nueva Chicago at 1.13 and Gimnasia Jujuy at 1.11. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-0 in favor of Nueva Chicago, occurring 11% of the time. Additionally, there is a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.24
Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings
Nueva Chicago
Gimnasia Jujuy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 34 fixtures
- Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre
- Los Andes vs All Boys — team news & stats
- Ferro Carril Oeste v Racing Cordoba — match page
- Chaco For Ever v Central Norte — match page
- Club Atlético Güemes v Almagro — match page
- Godoy Cruz vs CA Estudiantes
- San Martin S.J. vs Temperley
- San Martin Tucuman v Midland — match page
Before and after this match
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 39.7% | 2.52 | -6.8% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nueva Chicago | 39.7% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Gimnasia Jujuy | 28.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.7% |
| No | 53.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nueva Chicago win | 14.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 65.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats
Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form
| Nueva Chicago |
LLWDLW |
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
DLDDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy season so far
Nueva Chicago record
- They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 4-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Nueva Chicago | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2025-05-10 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2022-07-27 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 2-0 |
| 2019-02-10 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
| 2017-12-02 | Nueva Chicago | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2017-07-02 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2016-12-03 | Nueva Chicago | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2014-12-19 | Nueva Chicago | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2014-11-30 | Gimnasia Jujuy | Nueva Chicago | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 31.0%, away 27.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.20 | 2.88 | 3.28 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.25 | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 2.90 | 3.35 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.27 | 3.00 | 3.25 |
| Marathonbet | 2.18 | 2.88 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 2.99 | 3.48 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 2.80 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .