Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 34

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy

0 – 1 Full time

11′G. FerracuttiD. Arroyo
32′F. Molina
62′F. ParadelaC. Menendez
62′O. BianchiJ. Franzoni
62′M. PerezS. Cocimano
62′T. OcampoD. Barros
69′F. Molina
72′L. AmbrogioE. Cardozo
72′G. TrindadeN. Petrecca
72′F. MolinaC. Pombo
84′M. CachiD. Minervino
90′B. Palazzo
90′F. Camargo
90′T. Rodriguez

Estadio Nueva Chicago, Buenos Aires

Nueva Chicago 39%
Draw 31%
Gimnasia Jujuy 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityNueva ChicagoDrawGimnasia Jujuy
Model34.5%31.5%34.0%
Market41.0%30.6%28.4%
Final39.4%30.8%29.8%
Edge-1.6%+0.2%+1.4%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Nueva Chicago ↓ / Gimnasia Jujuy → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 11% 1 11% 15% 7% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy expected goals

Nueva Chicago 1.12
Gimnasia Jujuy 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.24

Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy attack and defence ratings

Nueva Chicago

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Gimnasia Jujuy

Attack 1.42 +42%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy: result vs prediction

Nueva Chicago 0 – 1 Gimnasia Jujuy

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 34 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nueva Chicago 39.4% 2.54 -1.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 53.3% 1.88 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 70.2% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.6% 1.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Nueva Chicago39.4%
Draw30.8%
Gimnasia Jujuy29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.8%
Under 2.561.2%
Both teams to scoreYes46.7%
No53.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)69.2%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Nueva Chicago win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss65.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.7%
0-012.0%
1-010.6%

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy stats

Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Nueva Chicago and Gimnasia Jujuy going into this match

league record before kick-off

Nueva Chicago record

  • They have won 9 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 17 of 33 matches.

Gimnasia Jujuy record

  • They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Nueva Chicago wins 3Draws 4Gimnasia Jujuy wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-17Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional4-0
2025-09-14Nueva ChicagoGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-0
2025-05-10Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional2-1
2022-07-27Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional2-0
2019-02-10Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-2
2017-12-02Nueva ChicagoGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-1
2017-07-02Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional2-2
2016-12-03Nueva ChicagoGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional0-1
2014-12-19Nueva ChicagoGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-0
2014-11-30Gimnasia JujuyNueva ChicagoPrimera Nacional1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Nueva Chicago vs Gimnasia Jujuy odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.9%, draw 30.7%, away 28.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.15 2.93 3.34
Bet365 2.25 3.10 3.20
BetVictor 2.25 3.10 3.25
Betano 2.30 2.90 3.35
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.00
Dafabet 2.27 3.00 3.25
Marathonbet 2.13 2.93 3.25
Pinnacle 2.30 3.14 3.39
William Hill 2.25 2.90 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.25 ▼ -0.04
X 3.02 ▲ +0.06
2 3.25 ▲ +0.10

12 snapshots recorded, from .