Gimnasia Jujuy
vs
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gimnasia Jujuy
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
| Probability | Gimnasia Jujuy | Draw | Gimnasia Y Tiro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.9% | 31.5% | 29.7% |
| Market | 48.3% | 28.7% | 23.0% |
| Final | 46.0% | 29.4% | 24.6% |
| Edge | -9.5% | +2.8% | +6.7% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro match preview
Gimnasia Jujuy faces Gimnasia Y Tiro in a Primera Nacional match on October 11, 2026. The model assigns a 39% probability of victory for Gimnasia Jujuy, while a draw is rated at 31% and Gimnasia Y Tiro at 30%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Gimnasia Jujuy, which has a 12% probability. Expected goals suggest Gimnasia Jujuy will score 1.20, compared to 1.02 for Gimnasia Y Tiro.
In terms of recent form, Gimnasia Jujuy has recorded a sequence of L-D-D-W-W-D, while Gimnasia Y Tiro's latest results show L-W-L-D-W-W. The teams have met once recently, resulting in 1 draw, with neither team securing a win. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnasia Jujuy and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Gimnasia Jujuy and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia Jujuy
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
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- Temperley v Nueva Chicago — match page
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Before and after this match
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 46.0% | 2.18 | -9.5% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 46.0% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.0% |
| No | 54.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Jujuy win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.2% | |
| 1-0 | 11.7% |
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats
Gimnasia Jujuy and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
LDDWWD |
| Gimnasia Y Tiro |
LWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy and Gimnasia Y Tiro season so far
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 15 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Gimnasia Y Tiro record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.3%, draw 28.7%, away 23.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.04 |
| Bet365 | 1.90 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| Betano | 1.93 | 3.20 | 4.05 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.25 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.96 | 3.20 | 3.85 |
| Marathonbet | 1.81 | 3.20 | 3.94 |
| Pinnacle | 1.83 | 3.43 | 4.34 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 2.81 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 3.00 | 3.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .