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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 32

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro

1 – 0 Full time

5′N. Rinaldi
19′D. Sand
28′E. Parnisari
65′J. RoccaJ. Capano
68′S. Brinone
69′A. CisneroA. Veliez
73′T. BanegaW. Montoya
73′F. RojasN. Contin
73′N. RinaldiM. Birge
82′N. Gallardo
86′G. CarabajalM. Garcia
90′M. VeronA. Galvan
90′B. Cabrera

Estadio La Ciudadela, Tucuman

San Martin Tucuman 49%
Draw 30%
Gimnasia Y Tiro 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro overview

Garuda Lions analysis: San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySan Martin TucumanDrawGimnasia Y Tiro
Model36.2%30.6%33.3%
Market53.0%29.6%17.4%
Final48.8%29.8%21.4%
Edge-16.9%+1.0%+15.9%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

San Martin Tuc ↓ / Gimnasia Y Tir → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 11%

San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro expected goals

San Martin Tucuman 1.20
Gimnasia Y Tiro 1.15

Total expected goals: 2.35

San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro attack and defence ratings

San Martin Tucuman

Attack 1.46 +46%
Defence 1.49 +49%

Gimnasia Y Tiro

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.72 -28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro: result vs prediction

San Martin Tucuman 1 – 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 32 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 San Martin Tucuman 48.8% 2.05 -16.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.1% 1.72 — —
Both teams to score No 50.8% 1.97 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.6% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.0% 1.56 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2San Martin Tucuman48.8%
Draw29.8%
Gimnasia Y Tiro21.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.9%
Under 2.558.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.2%
No50.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.6%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)51.2%
Handicap -1San Martin Tucuman win15.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss64.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.5%
0-010.8%
1-010.1%

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro stats

San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro recent form

newest first
San Martin Tucuman DLWLDW
Gimnasia Y Tiro WLDWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

San Martin Tucuman and Gimnasia Y Tiro going into this match

league record before kick-off

San Martin Tucuman record

  • They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 10 of 31 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Gimnasia Y Tiro record

  • They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5San Martin Tucuman wins 2Draws 3Gimnasia Y Tiro wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional1-0
2025-07-26Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin TucumanPrimera Nacional2-0
2025-03-23San Martin TucumanGimnasia Y TiroPrimera Nacional1-0
2015-10-03San Martin TucumanGimnasia Y TiroTorneo Federal A0-2
2015-06-07San Martin TucumanGimnasia Y TiroTorneo Federal A3-0
2015-04-05Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin TucumanTorneo Federal A0-2
2014-10-26San Martin TucumanGimnasia Y TiroTorneo Federal A1-1
2014-09-20Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin TucumanTorneo Federal A0-0
2014-03-09Gimnasia Y TiroSan Martin TucumanTorneo Federal A0-1
2013-10-30San Martin TucumanGimnasia Y TiroTorneo Federal A1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

San Martin Tucuman vs Gimnasia Y Tiro odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 53.0%, draw 29.6%, away 17.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.74 3.48 5.35
Bet365 1.73 3.20 5.75
BetVictor 1.70 3.25 5.50
Betano 1.75 3.10 5.30
Betfair 1.73 3.10 4.75
Marathonbet 1.65 3.12 5.20
Pinnacle 1.74 3.27 5.78
SBO 1.79 2.87 4.18
William Hill 1.75 3.10 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.74 ▼ -0.18
X 3.12 ▲ +0.22
2 5.30 ▲ +1.05

12 snapshots recorded, from .