Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 33

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever

1 – 2 Full time

6′L. Silba
14′B. Nievas
18′M. Diaz Chaves
45′B. Garcia
45′L. Pruzzo
46′B. GarciaD. Valdez
46′M. Diaz ChavesA. Lioi
46′L. PruzzoA. Ojeda
49′F. MorenoL. Mihovilcevich
61′L. MarinucciE. Montagna
61′C. MachadoA. Dionisio
65′M. S. RomeroG. Pacheco
69′M. Meli
74′L. DiarteN. Servetto
74′J. PeinipilF. Bersano
85′F. GiacopuzziD. Martinez
90′L. Fernandez

Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn

Deportivo Madryn 56%
Draw 28%
Chaco For Ever 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDeportivo MadrynDrawChaco For Ever
Model55.3%29.5%15.2%
Market55.7%27.2%17.0%
Final55.6%27.8%16.6%
Edge-0.1%+0.6%-0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Deportivo Madryn

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.62.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Deportivo Madr ↓ / Chaco For Ever → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 1 17% 13% 2 13% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 62%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever expected goals

Deportivo Madryn 1.42
Chaco For Ever 0.62

Total expected goals: 2.05

Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever attack and defence ratings

Deportivo Madryn

Attack 1.52 +52%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Chaco For Ever

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever: result vs prediction

Deportivo Madryn 1 – 2 Chaco For Ever

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 33 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Deportivo Madryn 55.6% 1.80 -0.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 66.4% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score No 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.4% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.7% 2.24 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Deportivo Madryn55.6%
Draw27.8%
Chaco For Ever16.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.533.6%
Under 2.566.4%
Both teams to scoreYes36.4%
No63.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.4%
12 (either side)72.2%
X2 (draw or away)44.4%
Handicap -1Deportivo Madryn win28.6%
Push (exactly one goal)26.7%
Loss44.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-017.2%
0-014.1%
2-013.1%

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever stats

Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever going into this match

league record before kick-off

Deportivo Madryn record

  • They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 9 of 32 matches.

Chaco For Ever record

  • They have won 9 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 12 clean sheets in 32 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 11 of 32 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

8Deportivo Madryn wins 2Draws 0Chaco For Ever wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynPrimera Nacional1-2
2024-09-07Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynPrimera Nacional0-1
2024-04-21Deportivo MadrynChaco For EverPrimera Nacional1-0
2023-10-07Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynPrimera Nacional0-0
2023-05-27Deportivo MadrynChaco For EverPrimera Nacional1-0
2022-04-30Deportivo MadrynChaco For EverPrimera Nacional3-2
2021-01-22Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynTorneo Federal A0-1
2019-05-05Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynTorneo Federal A0-0
2019-04-28Deportivo MadrynChaco For EverTorneo Federal A1-0
2015-11-14Chaco For EverDeportivo MadrynTorneo Federal A1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.7%, draw 27.2%, away 17.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.55 3.36 5.33
Bet365 1.67 3.30 5.75
BetVictor 1.67 3.50 5.25
Betano 1.55 3.30 6.10
Betfair 1.62 3.40 5.00
Dafabet 1.68 3.50 5.40
Marathonbet 1.59 3.36 5.20
Pinnacle 1.66 3.57 5.80
SBO 1.63 3.15 4.56
William Hill 1.65 3.30 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.64 ▼ -0.11
X 3.36 ▲ +0.16
2 5.37 ▲ +0.52

13 snapshots recorded, from .