Deportivo Madryn
vs
Chaco For Ever
Garuda Lions Prediction: Deportivo Madryn
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever
| Probability | Deportivo Madryn | Draw | Chaco For Ever |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.2% | 29.5% | 15.2% |
| Market | 55.5% | 27.7% | 16.8% |
| Final | 55.4% | 28.2% | 16.4% |
| Edge | -0.3% | +1.8% | -1.5% |
Why Deportivo Madryn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.42 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.70, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever match preview
Deportivo Madryn is favored in their upcoming match against Chaco For Ever, with a 55% probability of winning compared to 15% for Chaco For Ever. The expected goals for Deportivo Madryn stand at 1.42, while Chaco For Ever is projected to score 0.62. Recent form shows Deportivo Madryn with a mixed record of W-D-W-L-W-L, whereas Chaco For Ever has drawn in three of their last six matches, recording D-L-W-D-W-D.
The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Deportivo Madryn, with a 17% probability. There is a 34% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are expected to score in 36% of the scenarios. In their last encounter, Deportivo Madryn secured a victory, maintaining a head-to-head advantage with 1 win and no losses against Chaco For Ever.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.05
Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Madryn
Chaco For Ever
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
- Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
- Patronato vs Club Atlético Güemes
- Temperley v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Gimnasia Jujuy v Gimnasia Y Tiro — match page
- Atletico Mitre vs Colon Santa Fe
Before and after this match
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 55.4% | 1.80 | -0.3% | 1.70 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.4% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 55.4% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Chaco For Ever | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.4% |
| No | 63.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 28.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.7% | |
| Loss | 44.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.2% |
| 0-0 | 14.1% | |
| 2-0 | 13.0% |
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever stats
Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever recent form
| Deportivo Madryn |
WDWLWL |
| Chaco For Ever |
DLWDWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Madryn and Chaco For Ever season so far
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 13 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 11 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 31 matches.
Chaco For Ever record
- They have won 9 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- They have failed to score in 11 of 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Chaco For Ever | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.5%, draw 27.7%, away 16.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 3.26 | 5.18 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.10 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 3.30 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 3.35 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.63 | 3.26 | 5.05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.37 | 5.68 |
| SBO | 1.60 | 3.04 | 4.60 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.20 | 5.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .