Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 33
Almirante Brown
vs
San Miguel
1 – 1 Full time
| 11′ | M. Zanotti | ||
| 31′ | L. Pascual | ||
| 32′ | D. RenteriaF. Aguirre | ||
| 35′ | F. Aguirre | ||
| 46′ | F. AlmeidaT. Jerez | ||
| 46′ | F. CardozoT. Diaz | ||
| 57′ | M. ZanottiE. Martinez | ||
| 70′ | E. De la CruzG. Fernandez | ||
| 75′ | L. PascualT. Almada | ||
| 75′ | M. AbrelianoG. Flores | ||
| 80′ | S. GaunaJ. Velazquez | ||
| 80′ | K. CeceriA. Cruz | ||
| 83′ | T. Diaz | ||
| 85′ | G. Alegre Rojas | ||
| 90′ | A. Cruz | ||
| 90′ | San Miguel |
Almirante Brown
62%
Draw
27%
San Miguel
12%
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Almirante Brown vs San Miguel
| Probability | Almirante Brown | Draw | San Miguel |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.7% | 26.7% | 11.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 61.7% | 26.7% | 11.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Almirante Brown
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
64%
3+ goals
36%
No goals
13%
Almirante Brown and San Miguel expected goals
Almirante Brown
1.58
San Miguel
0.55
Total expected goals: 2.13
Almirante Brown and San Miguel attack and defence ratings
Almirante Brown
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.93 -7%
San Miguel
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.43 +43%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel: result vs prediction
Almirante Brown 1 – 1 San Miguel
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Colegiales v Tristan Suarez — match page
- Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors
- Quilmes vs Agropecuario — team news & stats
- Midland vs Atletico DE Rafaela — team news & stats
- Deportivo Madryn vs Chaco For Ever — team news & stats
- Atlanta v San Martin Tucuman — match page
- Defensores De Belgrano v Acassuso — match page
- CA Estudiantes vs Deportivo Moron
Before and after this match
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Almirante Brown | 61.7% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| San Miguel | 11.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.5% |
| No | 65.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 38.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Almirante Brown win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 38.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.8% |
| 2-0 | 14.9% | |
| 0-0 | 12.9% |
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel stats
Almirante Brown and San Miguel recent form
| Almirante Brown |
LLLDDW |
| San Miguel |
LLDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Almirante Brown and San Miguel going into this match
Almirante Brown record
- They have won 12 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 18 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 32 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
San Miguel record
- They have won 6 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 12 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
Almirante Brown vs San Miguel head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
1Almirante Brown wins
2Draws
3San Miguel wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | San Miguel | Almirante Brown | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2019-10-13 | Almirante Brown | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 3-0 |
| 2019-03-02 | Almirante Brown | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2018-09-21 | San Miguel | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
| 2018-03-03 | Almirante Brown | San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana | 1-2 |
| 2017-10-08 | San Miguel | Almirante Brown | Primera B Metropolitana | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.