Gimnasia Jujuy
vs
Atlanta
Garuda Lions Prediction: Gimnasia Jujuy
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.10.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Gimnasia Jujuy is the favourite, not a value bet.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta
| Probability | Gimnasia Jujuy | Draw | Atlanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 25.1% | 21.8% |
| Market | 50.2% | 29.2% | 20.6% |
| Final | 50.9% | 28.2% | 20.9% |
| Edge | +0.7% | -1.0% | +0.3% |
Why Gimnasia Jujuy
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.10.
Best available price on the pick: 1.90, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (our 50.9% × 1.90 − 1).
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta match preview
Gimnasia Jujuy hosts Atlanta in a Primera Nacional clash on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Gimnasia Jujuy has a 53% probability of winning, while Atlanta stands at 22%, with a draw at 25%. The expected goals for Gimnasia Jujuy is 1.82, compared to Atlanta's 1.10, indicating a more favorable attacking outlook for the home side. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Gimnasia Jujuy.
Recent form shows Gimnasia Jujuy with a record of W-D-L-D-D-W, while Atlanta has been in strong form with L-W-W-W-D-W. Additionally, there is a 56% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams have a 57% chance of scoring. In their last encounter, Atlanta secured a victory against Gimnasia Jujuy, highlighting a competitive edge for the visitors.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.92
Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta attack and defence ratings
Gimnasia Jujuy
Atlanta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
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- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
- Temperley v Chacarita Juniors — match page
- Racing Cordoba v All Boys — match page
- Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz — team news & stats
- Central Norte vs Acassuso — team news & stats
- Deportivo Maipu vs Club Atlético Güemes
Before and after this match
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 50.9% | 1.96 | +0.7% | 1.90 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 50.9% |
| Draw | 28.2% | |
| Atlanta | 20.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gimnasia Jujuy win | 30.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.9% |
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta stats
Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta recent form
| Gimnasia Jujuy |
WDLDDW |
| Atlanta |
LWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta season so far
Gimnasia Jujuy record
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atlanta record
- They have won 18 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Atlanta | Gimnasia Jujuy | Primera Nacional | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.9%, draw 29.4%, away 20.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.81 | 2.94 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 3.30 | 4.20 |
| Betano | 1.83 | 3.25 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.83 | 3.20 | 4.33 |
| Dafabet | 1.83 | 3.35 | 4.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.79 | 2.94 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 2.92 | 4.96 |
| SBO | 1.67 | 3.11 | 4.01 |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 3.10 | 4.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .