Garuda Lions
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Primera Nacional · Full time ·Matchday 35

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta

1 – 2 Full time

16′F. AlvarezI. Rodriguez
44′I. Rodriguez
44′C. Pellerano
46′C. BernardiJ. Puch
50′I. Rodriguez
57′R. SosaD. Arguello
59′F. CamargoC. Menendez
61′J. Puch
66′C. Menendez
73′B. RiveroF. Caceres
73′P. OstachukL. Galeano
75′F. ParadelaA. Arganaraz
85′T. Castro Ponce
85′N. Dematei
86′C. Pellerano
88′E. EndrizziD. Minervino
88′N. DemateiJ. Franzoni
88′G. CosaroJ. Varela

Estadio 23 de Agosto, Jujuy

Gimnasia Jujuy 51%
Draw 28%
Atlanta 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGimnasia JujuyDrawAtlanta
Model52.9%25.2%21.9%
Market49.8%28.8%21.4%
Final50.6%27.9%21.5%
Edge+0.8%-0.9%+0.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Gimnasia Jujuy

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.10.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gimnasia Jujuy ↓ / Atlanta → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 9% 12% 6% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 80%
3+ goals 56%
No goals 6%

Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta expected goals

Gimnasia Jujuy 1.82
Atlanta 1.10

Total expected goals: 2.92

Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta attack and defence ratings

Gimnasia Jujuy

Attack 1.37 +37%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Atlanta

Attack 1.14 +14%
Defence 1.15 +15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta: result vs prediction

Gimnasia Jujuy 1 – 2 Atlanta

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 35 fixtures

Primera Nacional

Before and after this match

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gimnasia Jujuy 50.6% 1.98 +0.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.9% 1.79 — —
Both teams to score Yes 57.1% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.5% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.1% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gimnasia Jujuy50.6%
Draw27.9%
Atlanta21.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.9%
Under 2.544.1%
Both teams to scoreYes57.1%
No42.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.5%
12 (either side)72.1%
X2 (draw or away)49.4%
Handicap -1Gimnasia Jujuy win30.5%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss47.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
2-19.8%
2-08.9%

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta stats

Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta recent form

newest first
Gimnasia Jujuy WDLDDW
Atlanta LWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gimnasia Jujuy and Atlanta going into this match

league record before kick-off

Gimnasia Jujuy record

  • They have won 16 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Atlanta record

  • They have won 18 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 8 of 34 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Gimnasia Jujuy wins 2Draws 2Atlanta wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-06AtlantaGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional3-0
2023-10-01Gimnasia JujuyAtlantaPrimera Nacional2-0
2023-05-22AtlantaGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional1-2
2022-03-24Gimnasia JujuyAtlantaPrimera Nacional1-1
2012-04-21AtlantaGimnasia JujuyPrimera Nacional0-0
2011-10-16Gimnasia JujuyAtlantaPrimera Nacional0-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gimnasia Jujuy vs Atlanta odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 28.5%, away 21.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.79 3.00 4.68
Bet365 1.85 3.30 4.10
BetVictor 1.80 3.40 4.40
Betano 1.88 3.30 4.10
Betfair 1.80 3.20 4.20
Dafabet 1.85 3.35 4.30
Marathonbet 1.77 3.00 4.55
Pinnacle 1.89 3.10 4.96
SBO 1.67 3.11 4.01
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▲ +0.08
X 3.20 ▼ -0.07
2 4.30 ▼ -0.10

10 snapshots recorded, from .