Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 35
Deportivo Madryn
vs
San Telmo
4 – 1 Full time
| 13′ | M. Gonzalez | ||
| 14′ | E. Britez | ||
| 34′ | M. Meli | ||
| 43′ | L. Silba | ||
| 46′ | M. BatalliniR. Dinocco | ||
| 46′ | F. Bersano | ||
| 60′ | E. MontagnaJ. Peinipil | ||
| 60′ | F. BersanoN. Servetto | ||
| 60′ | L. MarinucciE. Jara | ||
| 60′ | P. RomeroG. Paredes | ||
| 60′ | J. PortoJ. Iritier | ||
| 65′ | G. Paredes | ||
| 65′ | N. MolinaC. Nunez | ||
| 65′ | J. MotroniI. Larthirigoyen | ||
| 76′ | A. SosaJ. Cosi | ||
| 78′ | A. Gutierrez | ||
| 82′ | L. Silba | ||
| 83′ | L. DiarteD. Martinez |
Deportivo Madryn
65%
Draw
24%
San Telmo
11%
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo
| Probability | Deportivo Madryn | Draw | San Telmo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.1% | 25.5% | 10.4% |
| Market | 64.8% | 23.6% | 11.6% |
| Final | 64.6% | 24.1% | 11.3% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.5% | -0.3% |
Why Deportivo Madryn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 0.52.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
88%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
12%
Deportivo Madryn and San Telmo expected goals
Deportivo Madryn
1.65
San Telmo
0.52
Total expected goals: 2.17
Deportivo Madryn and San Telmo attack and defence ratings
Deportivo Madryn
Attack
1.31 +31%
Defence
0.77 -23%
San Telmo
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.09 +9%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo: result vs prediction
Deportivo Madryn 4 – 1 San Telmo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
- Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever
- Quilmes vs San Martin Tucuman — team news & stats
- Colegiales v Atletico DE Rafaela — match page
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe — team news & stats
- CA Estudiantes v Los Andes — match page
- Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron
- Patronato vs Agropecuario
Before and after this match
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 64.6% | 1.55 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 36.8% | 2.71 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Deportivo Madryn | 64.6% |
| Draw | 24.1% | |
| San Telmo | 11.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.8% |
| No | 66.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Deportivo Madryn win | 36.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 36.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.8% |
| 2-0 | 15.5% | |
| 0-0 | 12.4% |
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo stats
Deportivo Madryn and San Telmo recent form
| Deportivo Madryn |
DLWDWL |
| San Telmo |
DLWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Deportivo Madryn and San Telmo going into this match
Deportivo Madryn record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 1.1 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 10 of 34 matches.
San Telmo record
- They have won 9 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Deportivo Madryn wins
2Draws
2San Telmo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-07 | San Telmo | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-15 | Deportivo Madryn | San Telmo | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | San Telmo | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2022-05-06 | San Telmo | Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2021-02-05 | San Telmo | Deportivo Madryn | Primera B Metropolitana | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.4%, draw 24.0%, away 11.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 3.84 | 8.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.60 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.44 | 4.00 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.62 | 3.50 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.42 | 4.20 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 3.84 | 7.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.11 | 8.48 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 3.67 | 6.57 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 3.80 | 8.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.43 ▼ -0.18
X
3.92 ▲ +0.50
2
8.00 ▲ +2.84
11 snapshots recorded, from .