Colegiales
vs
Atletico DE Rafaela
1 – 1 Full time
| 18′ | E. Pepino | ||
| 27′ | A. Obando | ||
| 38′ | F. Ponce | ||
| 40′ | L. Albertengo | ||
| 43′ | J. Bonifacio | ||
| 46′ | L. GonzalezR. E. Monserrat | ||
| 46′ | F. MontielL. Juarez | ||
| 46′ | J. BonifacioA. Rodriguez | ||
| 46′ | E. PepinoJ. Capurro | ||
| 57′ | A. ObandoJ. Cavallaro | ||
| 60′ | F. Rivero | ||
| 60′ | E. TrinidadF. Zicarelli | ||
| 72′ | M. AlbertengoN. Toloza | ||
| 75′ | J. Capurro | ||
| 79′ | L. CastilloM. Mamani | ||
| 79′ | L. AlbertengoR. Ramirez | ||
| 83′ | N. Toloza |
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela
| Probability | Colegiales | Draw | Atletico DE Rafaela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 71.6% | 19.8% | 8.5% |
| Market | 53.2% | 29.4% | 17.4% |
| Final | 57.8% | 27.0% | 15.2% |
| Edge | +4.6% | -2.4% | -2.2% |
Why Colegiales
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.61.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Colegiales below our published probability: +4.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Colegiales and Atletico DE Rafaela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.72
Colegiales and Atletico DE Rafaela attack and defence ratings
Colegiales
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela: result vs prediction
Colegiales 1 – 1 Atletico DE Rafaela
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
Before and after this match
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 57.8% | 1.73 | +4.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Colegiales win | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Colegiales | 57.8% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| Atletico DE Rafaela | 15.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.9% |
| No | 59.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Colegiales win | 47.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 28.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-0 | 13.0% | |
| 3-0 | 10.4% |
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela stats
Colegiales and Atletico DE Rafaela recent form
| Colegiales |
WDWWLW |
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
WLLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Colegiales and Atletico DE Rafaela going into this match
Colegiales record
- They have won 14 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Colegiales | Primera Nacional | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 53.3%, draw 29.3%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.08 | 5.29 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.30 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.13 | 5.75 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 3.10 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.73 | 3.25 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.08 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.73 | 3.33 | 5.66 |
| SBO | 1.68 | 2.84 | 4.54 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .