Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 36
Atletico DE Rafaela
vs
Patronato
0 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | E. PepinoJ. Capurro | ||
| 22′ | J. Capurro | ||
| 37′ | R. Reynaga | ||
| 52′ | G. Salega | ||
| 65′ | R. ReynagaJ. Barolin | ||
| 65′ | A. MiroT. Attis | ||
| 71′ | B. CortesA. Picco | ||
| 71′ | G. SalegaS. Piccioni | ||
| 75′ | A. ObandoF. Jourdan | ||
| 75′ | L. FloresJ. Cavallaro | ||
| 84′ | L. AlbertengoI. Protti | ||
| 84′ | J. CapurroJ. Torrens | ||
| 90′ | J. BarolinL. Strey |
Atletico DE Rafaela
35%
Draw
32%
Patronato
34%
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
| Probability | Atletico DE Rafaela | Draw | Patronato |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 30.5% | 27.4% |
| Market | 32.3% | 32.0% | 35.7% |
| Final | 34.8% | 31.6% | 33.6% |
| Edge | +2.5% | -0.4% | -2.1% |
Why Atletico DE Rafaela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 1.00.
- The market prices Atletico DE Rafaela below our published probability: +2.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
41%
No goals
11%
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato expected goals
Atletico DE Rafaela
1.30
Patronato
1.00
Total expected goals: 2.31
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato attack and defence ratings
Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.40 +40%
Patronato
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato: result vs prediction
Atletico DE Rafaela 0 – 0 Patronato
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- San Telmo vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Atlanta v Midland — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
- Club Atlético Güemes v Temperley — match page
Before and after this match
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 34.8% | 2.88 | +2.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 34.8% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Patronato | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico DE Rafaela win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 57.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato stats
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato recent form
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
DWLLLW |
| Patronato |
LLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato going into this match
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 12 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Patronato record
- They have won 7 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 18 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
1Atletico DE Rafaela wins
1Draws
0Patronato wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Patronato | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
| 2016-12-17 | Atletico DE Rafaela | Patronato | Liga Profesional Argentina | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.3%, draw 32.1%, away 35.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.54 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 2.88 | 2.62 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 2.90 | 2.30 |
| Betano | 2.82 | 2.85 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 2.80 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 2.90 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.77 | 2.77 | 2.54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.88 | 2.85 | 2.73 |
| SBO | 2.80 | 2.63 | 2.31 |
| William Hill | 3.25 | 2.80 | 2.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.82 ▼ -0.71
X
2.85 ▼ -0.19
2
2.55 ▲ +0.47
10 snapshots recorded, from .