Atletico DE Rafaela
vs
Patronato
Garuda Lions Prediction: Atletico DE Rafaela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
| Probability | Atletico DE Rafaela | Draw | Patronato |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.0% | 31.1% | 32.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.0% | 31.1% | 32.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato match preview
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato are set to clash in the Primera Nacional, with Atletico DE Rafaela holding a 36% probability of victory compared to Patronato's 33%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at an 11% probability, while both teams have a combined 48% chance of scoring. Expected goals for Atletico DE Rafaela stand at 1.17, slightly ahead of Patronato's 1.11.
In terms of recent form, Atletico DE Rafaela has recorded a mixed set of results with a D-W-L-L-L-W streak, while Patronato's form shows a L-W-L-W-D-D pattern. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last encounter, there were no wins for either side, with one draw. The confidence grade for this match is rated C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.28
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato attack and defence ratings
Atletico DE Rafaela
Patronato
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- Agropecuario v Almagro — match page
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.1% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 36.0% |
| Draw | 31.1% | |
| Patronato | 32.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico DE Rafaela win | 15.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 64.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 11.5% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato stats
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato recent form
| Atletico DE Rafaela |
DWLLLW |
| Patronato |
LWLWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Atletico DE Rafaela and Patronato season so far
Atletico DE Rafaela record
- They have won 12 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 16 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 14 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Patronato record
- They have won 7 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 17 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Patronato | Atletico DE Rafaela | Primera Nacional | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.