Agropecuario
vs
Almagro
Garuda Lions Prediction: Agropecuario
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.87.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Agropecuario vs Almagro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Agropecuario vs Almagro
| Probability | Agropecuario | Draw | Almagro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.5% | 31.4% | 24.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.5% | 31.4% | 24.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Agropecuario
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.27 vs 0.87.
Agropecuario vs Almagro match preview
Agropecuario faces Almagro in the Primera Nacional with Agropecuario holding a 44% probability of winning, while Almagro has a 24% chance. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring 14% of the time, and suggests that both teams have a 43% chance of scoring. Expected goals are calculated at 1.27 for Agropecuario and 0.87 for Almagro, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Agropecuario has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and three losses in their last five matches. Almagro's recent performance shows two wins and three losses as well, with their last match ending in a draw. The head-to-head record reveals that in their last encounter, Almagro secured a victory over Agropecuario. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Agropecuario and Almagro expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Agropecuario and Almagro attack and defence ratings
Agropecuario
Almagro
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- Chacarita Juniors v Nueva Chicago — match page
- Colon Santa Fe vs Defensores De Belgrano — team news & stats
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- All Boys vs CA Estudiantes — team news & stats
- Atletico DE Rafaela vs Patronato
- Deportivo Moron v Ciudad de Bolívar — match page
- Los Andes vs Atletico Mitre — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Agropecuario vs Almagro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 44.5% |
| Draw | 31.4% | |
| Almagro | 24.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.0% |
| No | 57.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Agropecuario win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.6% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
Agropecuario vs Almagro stats
Agropecuario and Almagro recent form
| Agropecuario |
LWDLWL |
| Almagro |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Agropecuario and Almagro season so far
Agropecuario record
- They have won 10 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 13 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 34 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Almagro record
- They have won 11 of their 34 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 34 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 34 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Agropecuario vs Almagro head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Almagro | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.