Primera Nacional
·
Full time
·Matchday 36
Agropecuario
vs
Almagro
2 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | A. Gagliardi | ||
| 17′ | U. Villalobos | ||
| 43′ | J. Orlando | ||
| 46′ | J. HeritierR. Mosqueira | ||
| 46′ | U. VillalobosJ. Fernandes | ||
| 56′ | B. Negro | ||
| 62′ | J. Vega | ||
| 68′ | J. Vitale | ||
| 69′ | E. MartinezC. Salto | ||
| 69′ | P. BlancoN. Tolosa | ||
| 75′ | D. Ruiz DiazL. Barrera | ||
| 75′ | A. GagliardiM. Millanes | ||
| 81′ | J. BustosT. Lopez | ||
| 86′ | N. Pereyra | ||
| 86′ | J. VegaS. Gallucci | ||
| 90′ | J. MarchioniR. Sanchez | ||
| 90′ | B. ArandaT. Lecanda |
Agropecuario
54%
Draw
27%
Almagro
19%
Agropecuario vs Almagro overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Agropecuario vs Almagro
| Probability | Agropecuario | Draw | Almagro |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.2% | 28.7% | 19.0% |
| Market | 55.1% | 26.3% | 18.7% |
| Final | 54.4% | 26.9% | 18.8% |
| Edge | -0.7% | +0.6% | +0.1% |
Why Agropecuario
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.80.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
89%
2+ goals
68%
3+ goals
40%
No goals
11%
Agropecuario and Almagro expected goals
Agropecuario
1.49
Almagro
0.80
Total expected goals: 2.29
Agropecuario and Almagro attack and defence ratings
Agropecuario
Attack
0.96 -4%
Defence
0.98 -2%
Almagro
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.34 +34%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Agropecuario vs Almagro: result vs prediction
Agropecuario 2 – 1 Almagro
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 36 fixtures
- Godoy Cruz vs Almirante Brown
- San Martin S.J. vs Gimnasia Jujuy
- San Telmo vs Central Norte — team news & stats
- Atlanta v Midland — match page
- Tristan Suarez vs Deportivo Maipu — team news & stats
- Acassuso vs Ferro Carril Oeste
- Club Atlético Güemes v Temperley — match page
- San Miguel vs Deportivo Madryn — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Agropecuario vs Almagro markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 54.4% | 1.84 | -0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.0% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Agropecuario | 54.4% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Almagro | 18.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.0% |
| No | 56.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Agropecuario win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.8% |
| 1-1 | 13.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.3% |
Agropecuario vs Almagro stats
Agropecuario and Almagro recent form
| Agropecuario |
WLWDLW |
| Almagro |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Agropecuario and Almagro going into this match
Agropecuario record
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 14 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 16 of 35 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 8 penalties (62%).
Almagro record
- They have won 11 of their 35 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 9 clean sheets in 35 matches.
- They have failed to score in 13 of 35 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
Agropecuario vs Almagro head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
2Agropecuario wins
3Draws
2Almagro wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Almagro | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 2-1 |
| 2023-08-20 | Agropecuario | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | Almagro | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-05 | Agropecuario | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 2-2 |
| 2019-03-01 | Almagro | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 1-1 |
| 2018-05-08 | Almagro | Agropecuario | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
| 2018-04-16 | Agropecuario | Almagro | Primera Nacional | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Agropecuario vs Almagro odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 26.3%, away 18.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.45 | 5.02 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.40 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.55 | 4.85 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.68 | 3.65 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.45 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67 | 3.71 | 4.95 |
| SBO | 1.61 | 3.21 | 4.19 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.40 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.67 ▼ -0.02
X
3.50 ▲ +0.08
2
4.93 ▲ +0.13
8 snapshots recorded, from .